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Pinal, AZ · ZIP 85739 · Census Tract 04021000603 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$446K
Downside (P10)
$328K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$464K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$693K
+55% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $346K | $351K | $357K | $348K | $355K | $345K | $348K | $408K | $434K | $449K | $446K | $464K | $456K | $464K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$100,427 | -$95,727 | -$89,127 | -$98,727 | -$91,827 | -$101,827 | -$98,627 | -$38,927 | -$12,327 | +$2,073 | +$17,530 | +$9,519 | +$17,126 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -22.5% | -21.4% | -20.0% | -22.1% | -20.6% | -22.8% | -22.1% | -8.7% | -2.8% | +0.5% | +3.9% | +2.1% | +3.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $386K | $350K | $328K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $589K | $634K | $693K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$386K to $589K
43.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$328K to $693K
78.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddlebrooke · Tucson · (Tract 6.3) | $448K | $464K | +3.4% | |
| San Tan Valley (Tract 000223) | $458K | $525K | +14.7% | |
| North Pinal (Tract 000201) | $452K | $499K | +10.4% | |
| Florence | $444K | $485K | +9.4% | |
| North Pinal (Tract 000217) | $436K | $456K | +4.7% | |
| San Tan Valley (Tract 000224) | $455K | $476K | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddlebrooke · Tucson · (Tract 6.3) | $448K | $464K | +3.4% | |
| North Pinal | $600K | $697K | +16.2% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001714) | $362K | $420K | +16.0% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001716) | $389K | $447K | +14.9% | |
| San Tan Valley | $458K | $525K | +14.7% | |
| Florence | $169K | $194K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddlebrooke · Tucson · (Tract 6.3) | $448K | $464K | $365K | |
| North Pinal (Tract 000317) | $84K | $88K | $68K | |
| Eloy (Tract 001900) | $150K | $161K | $65K | |
| Eloy (Tract 002004) | $140K | $154K | $63K | |
| North Pinal (Tract 002300) | $134K | $150K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Pinal, AZ · ZIP 85739 · Census Tract 04021000603 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$446K
Downside (P10)
$328K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$464K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$693K
+55% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 57% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $346K | $351K | $357K | $348K | $355K | $345K | $348K | $408K | $434K | $449K | $446K | $464K | $456K | $464K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$100,427 | -$95,727 | -$89,127 | -$98,727 | -$91,827 | -$101,827 | -$98,627 | -$38,927 | -$12,327 | +$2,073 | +$17,530 | +$9,519 | +$17,126 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -22.5% | -21.4% | -20.0% | -22.1% | -20.6% | -22.8% | -22.1% | -8.7% | -2.8% | +0.5% | +3.9% | +2.1% | +3.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $386K | $350K | $328K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $589K | $634K | $693K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$386K to $589K
43.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$328K to $693K
78.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddlebrooke · Tucson · (Tract 6.3) | $448K | $464K | +3.4% | |
| San Tan Valley (Tract 000223) | $458K | $525K | +14.7% | |
| North Pinal (Tract 000201) | $452K | $499K | +10.4% | |
| Florence | $444K | $485K | +9.4% | |
| North Pinal (Tract 000217) | $436K | $456K | +4.7% | |
| San Tan Valley (Tract 000224) | $455K | $476K | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddlebrooke · Tucson · (Tract 6.3) | $448K | $464K | +3.4% | |
| North Pinal | $600K | $697K | +16.2% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001714) | $362K | $420K | +16.0% | |
| Maricopa (Tract 001716) | $389K | $447K | +14.9% | |
| San Tan Valley | $458K | $525K | +14.7% | |
| Florence | $169K | $194K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddlebrooke · Tucson · (Tract 6.3) | $448K | $464K | $365K | |
| North Pinal (Tract 000317) | $84K | $88K | $68K | |
| Eloy (Tract 001900) | $150K | $161K | $65K | |
| Eloy (Tract 002004) | $140K | $154K | $63K | |
| North Pinal (Tract 002300) | $134K | $150K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
