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Winnebago, WI · ZIP 54901 · Census Tract 55139000200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$144K
Downside (P10)
$119K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$141K
-2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$194K
+34% by 2030
Base case: -2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $108K | $104K | $105K | $111K | $117K | $119K | $123K | $134K | $133K | $140K | $144K | $144K | $145K | $141K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$36,793 | -$40,193 | -$39,093 | -$33,493 | -$27,593 | -$25,193 | -$20,993 | -$10,393 | -$10,993 | -$4,393 | -$205 | +$1,121 | -$3,480 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.5% | -27.9% | -27.1% | -23.2% | -19.1% | -17.5% | -14.5% | -7.2% | -7.6% | -3.0% | -0.1% | +0.8% | -2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $123K | $120K | $119K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $168K | $188K | $194K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$123K to $168K
31.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$119K to $194K
52.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oshkosh · 54901 · (Tract 2) | $142K | $141K | -0.9% | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000502) | $154K | $178K | +16.1% | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000100) | $148K | $164K | +11.0% | |
| Neenah | $155K | $171K | +10.2% | |
| Menasha | $156K | $169K | +8.1% | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000400) | $147K | $154K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oshkosh · 54901 · (Tract 2) | $142K | $141K | -0.9% | |
| Menasha | $160K | $191K | +19.7% | |
| Neenah | $180K | $213K | +18.4% | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 001000) | $172K | $203K | +18.0% | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000800) | $167K | $194K | +16.5% | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000502) | $154K | $178K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oshkosh · 54901 · (Tract 2) | $142K | $141K | $74K | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000100) | $148K | $164K | $86K | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 001200) | $125K | $140K | $85K | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000400) | $147K | $154K | $83K | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000501) | $159K | $173K | $80K | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000502) | $154K | $178K | $77K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Winnebago, WI · ZIP 54901 · Census Tract 55139000200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$144K
Downside (P10)
$119K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$141K
-2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$194K
+34% by 2030
Base case: -2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $108K | $104K | $105K | $111K | $117K | $119K | $123K | $134K | $133K | $140K | $144K | $144K | $145K | $141K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$36,793 | -$40,193 | -$39,093 | -$33,493 | -$27,593 | -$25,193 | -$20,993 | -$10,393 | -$10,993 | -$4,393 | -$205 | +$1,121 | -$3,480 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.5% | -27.9% | -27.1% | -23.2% | -19.1% | -17.5% | -14.5% | -7.2% | -7.6% | -3.0% | -0.1% | +0.8% | -2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $123K | $120K | $119K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $168K | $188K | $194K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$123K to $168K
31.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$119K to $194K
52.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oshkosh · 54901 · (Tract 2) | $142K | $141K | -0.9% | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000502) | $154K | $178K | +16.1% | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000100) | $148K | $164K | +11.0% | |
| Neenah | $155K | $171K | +10.2% | |
| Menasha | $156K | $169K | +8.1% | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000400) | $147K | $154K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oshkosh · 54901 · (Tract 2) | $142K | $141K | -0.9% | |
| Menasha | $160K | $191K | +19.7% | |
| Neenah | $180K | $213K | +18.4% | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 001000) | $172K | $203K | +18.0% | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000800) | $167K | $194K | +16.5% | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000502) | $154K | $178K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oshkosh · 54901 · (Tract 2) | $142K | $141K | $74K | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000100) | $148K | $164K | $86K | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 001200) | $125K | $140K | $85K | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000400) | $147K | $154K | $83K | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000501) | $159K | $173K | $80K | |
| Oshkosh (Tract 000502) | $154K | $178K | $77K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
