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Washington, VT · ZIP 05602 · Census Tract 50023954500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$287K
Downside (P10)
$231K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$300K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$403K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $228K | $208K | $217K | $207K | $213K | $209K | $222K | $238K | $261K | $274K | $287K | $289K | $301K | $300K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$59,084 | -$78,484 | -$69,784 | -$79,884 | -$73,684 | -$77,984 | -$65,184 | -$48,484 | -$25,684 | -$13,084 | +$2,759 | +$14,603 | +$13,309 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -20.6% | -27.4% | -24.3% | -27.9% | -25.7% | -27.2% | -22.7% | -16.9% | -9.0% | -4.6% | +1.0% | +5.1% | +4.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $238K | $240K | $231K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $326K | $359K | $403K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$238K to $326K
30.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$231K to $403K
57.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | $281K | $300K | +6.9% | |
| Marshfield area | $270K | $293K | +8.5% | |
| Roxbury | $271K | $293K | +8.0% | |
| Barre (Tract 955300) | $300K | $316K | +5.4% | |
| Northfield | $275K | $283K | +3.0% | |
| Barre (Tract 955400) | $262K | $264K | +0.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | $281K | $300K | +6.9% | |
| Montpelier (Tract 954600) | $457K | $520K | +13.8% | |
| Barre | $228K | $258K | +13.2% | |
| Woodbury area | $379K | $424K | +11.9% | |
| Montpelier (Tract 954700) | $426K | $470K | +10.4% | |
| Waitsfield | $430K | $474K | +10.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | $281K | $300K | $172K | |
| Duxbury area | $382K | $403K | $181K | |
| Marshfield area | $270K | $293K | $177K | |
| Barre (Tract 955400) | $262K | $264K | $154K | |
| Barre (Tract 955100) | $228K | $258K | $143K | |
| Barre (Tract 955200) | $197K | $217K | $132K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Washington, VT · ZIP 05602 · Census Tract 50023954500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$287K
Downside (P10)
$231K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$300K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$403K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $228K | $208K | $217K | $207K | $213K | $209K | $222K | $238K | $261K | $274K | $287K | $289K | $301K | $300K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$59,084 | -$78,484 | -$69,784 | -$79,884 | -$73,684 | -$77,984 | -$65,184 | -$48,484 | -$25,684 | -$13,084 | +$2,759 | +$14,603 | +$13,309 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -20.6% | -27.4% | -24.3% | -27.9% | -25.7% | -27.2% | -22.7% | -16.9% | -9.0% | -4.6% | +1.0% | +5.1% | +4.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $238K | $240K | $231K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $326K | $359K | $403K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$238K to $326K
30.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$231K to $403K
57.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | $281K | $300K | +6.9% | |
| Marshfield area | $270K | $293K | +8.5% | |
| Roxbury | $271K | $293K | +8.0% | |
| Barre (Tract 955300) | $300K | $316K | +5.4% | |
| Northfield | $275K | $283K | +3.0% | |
| Barre (Tract 955400) | $262K | $264K | +0.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | $281K | $300K | +6.9% | |
| Montpelier (Tract 954600) | $457K | $520K | +13.8% | |
| Barre | $228K | $258K | +13.2% | |
| Woodbury area | $379K | $424K | +11.9% | |
| Montpelier (Tract 954700) | $426K | $470K | +10.4% | |
| Waitsfield | $430K | $474K | +10.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berlin | $281K | $300K | $172K | |
| Duxbury area | $382K | $403K | $181K | |
| Marshfield area | $270K | $293K | $177K | |
| Barre (Tract 955400) | $262K | $264K | $154K | |
| Barre (Tract 955100) | $228K | $258K | $143K | |
| Barre (Tract 955200) | $197K | $217K | $132K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
