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Loudoun, VA · ZIP 20148 · Census Tract 51107611031 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$851K
Downside (P10)
$720K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$907K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.31M
+54% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $613K | $627K | $817K | $814K | $832K | $851K | $866K | $876K | $907K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$238,024 | -$223,924 | -$33,924 | -$37,024 | -$19,024 | +$15,362 | +$25,488 | +$56,300 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -28.0% | -26.3% | -4.0% | -4.4% | -2.2% | +1.8% | +3.0% | +6.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $753K | $720K | $720K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$753K to $1.1M
38.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$720K to $1.3M
65.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moorefield | $844K | $907K | +7.5% | |
| Dulles (Tract 611030) | $846K | $935K | +10.6% | |
| Dulles (Tract 611804) | $821K | $901K | +9.7% | |
| Blue Ridge | $844K | $898K | +6.4% | |
| Dulles (Tract 611901) | $867K | $922K | +6.3% | |
| Brambleton | $879K | $864K | -1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moorefield | $844K | $907K | +7.5% | |
| Leesburg area | $727K | $851K | +17.1% | |
| Ashburn | $720K | $838K | +16.4% | |
| Lowes Island | $699K | $800K | +14.5% | |
| Dulles | $617K | $705K | +14.3% | |
| Leesburg | $694K | $791K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moorefield | $844K | $907K | $592K | |
| Broad Run | $498K | $540K | $276K | |
| Sterling (Tract 611601) | $517K | $531K | $272K | |
| Sterling (Tract 611602) | $380K | $404K | $237K | |
| Leesburg | $406K | $433K | $235K | |
| Brambleton | $459K | $514K | $235K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Loudoun, VA · ZIP 20148 · Census Tract 51107611031 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$851K
Downside (P10)
$720K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$907K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.31M
+54% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $613K | $627K | $817K | $814K | $832K | $851K | $866K | $876K | $907K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$238,024 | -$223,924 | -$33,924 | -$37,024 | -$19,024 | +$15,362 | +$25,488 | +$56,300 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -28.0% | -26.3% | -4.0% | -4.4% | -2.2% | +1.8% | +3.0% | +6.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $753K | $720K | $720K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$753K to $1.1M
38.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$720K to $1.3M
65.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moorefield | $844K | $907K | +7.5% | |
| Dulles (Tract 611030) | $846K | $935K | +10.6% | |
| Dulles (Tract 611804) | $821K | $901K | +9.7% | |
| Blue Ridge | $844K | $898K | +6.4% | |
| Dulles (Tract 611901) | $867K | $922K | +6.3% | |
| Brambleton | $879K | $864K | -1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moorefield | $844K | $907K | +7.5% | |
| Leesburg area | $727K | $851K | +17.1% | |
| Ashburn | $720K | $838K | +16.4% | |
| Lowes Island | $699K | $800K | +14.5% | |
| Dulles | $617K | $705K | +14.3% | |
| Leesburg | $694K | $791K | +13.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moorefield | $844K | $907K | $592K | |
| Broad Run | $498K | $540K | $276K | |
| Sterling (Tract 611601) | $517K | $531K | $272K | |
| Sterling (Tract 611602) | $380K | $404K | $237K | |
| Leesburg | $406K | $433K | $235K | |
| Brambleton | $459K | $514K | $235K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
