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Hampton, VA · ZIP 23666 · Census Tract 51650010316 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$187K
Downside (P10)
$154K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$198K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$274K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $225K | $214K | $174K | $190K | $182K | $187K | $193K | $200K | $198K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$38,063 | +$26,863 | -$12,937 | +$2,463 | -$4,937 | +$5,616 | +$12,376 | +$11,092 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +20.3% | +14.3% | -6.9% | +1.3% | -2.6% | +3.0% | +6.6% | +5.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $162K | $161K | $154K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $232K | $260K | $274K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$162K to $232K
36.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$154K to $274K
60.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23666 · (Tract 103.16) | $187K | $198K | +6.3% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011002) | $186K | $217K | +16.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010314) | $191K | $212K | +11.2% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011800) | $179K | $197K | +10.1% | |
| Hampton (Tract 012000) | $197K | $217K | +9.9% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011900) | $202K | $209K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23666 · (Tract 103.16) | $187K | $198K | +6.3% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011002) | $186K | $217K | +16.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011600) | $263K | $299K | +13.5% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011001) | $242K | $274K | +13.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010602) | $157K | $177K | +12.9% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011500) | $326K | $365K | +12.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23666 · (Tract 103.16) | $187K | $198K | $120K | |
| Hampton (Tract 011200) | $210K | $220K | $105K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010900) | $207K | $230K | $101K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010602) | $157K | $177K | $99K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010701) | $216K | $234K | $98K | |
| Hampton (Tract 011800) | $179K | $197K | $96K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hampton, VA · ZIP 23666 · Census Tract 51650010316 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$187K
Downside (P10)
$154K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$198K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$274K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $225K | $214K | $174K | $190K | $182K | $187K | $193K | $200K | $198K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$38,063 | +$26,863 | -$12,937 | +$2,463 | -$4,937 | +$5,616 | +$12,376 | +$11,092 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +20.3% | +14.3% | -6.9% | +1.3% | -2.6% | +3.0% | +6.6% | +5.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $162K | $161K | $154K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $232K | $260K | $274K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$162K to $232K
36.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$154K to $274K
60.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23666 · (Tract 103.16) | $187K | $198K | +6.3% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011002) | $186K | $217K | +16.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010314) | $191K | $212K | +11.2% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011800) | $179K | $197K | +10.1% | |
| Hampton (Tract 012000) | $197K | $217K | +9.9% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011900) | $202K | $209K | +3.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23666 · (Tract 103.16) | $187K | $198K | +6.3% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011002) | $186K | $217K | +16.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011600) | $263K | $299K | +13.5% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011001) | $242K | $274K | +13.4% | |
| Hampton (Tract 010602) | $157K | $177K | +12.9% | |
| Hampton (Tract 011500) | $326K | $365K | +12.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampton · 23666 · (Tract 103.16) | $187K | $198K | $120K | |
| Hampton (Tract 011200) | $210K | $220K | $105K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010900) | $207K | $230K | $101K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010602) | $157K | $177K | $99K | |
| Hampton (Tract 010701) | $216K | $234K | $98K | |
| Hampton (Tract 011800) | $179K | $197K | $96K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
