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Augusta, VA · ZIP 24477 · Census Tract 51015071102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$313K
Downside (P10)
$250K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$338K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$427K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $209K | $214K | $212K | $214K | $212K | $210K | $223K | $250K | $266K | $311K | $313K | $325K | $330K | $338K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$103,283 | -$98,683 | -$100,583 | -$99,183 | -$100,383 | -$102,283 | -$89,483 | -$62,483 | -$46,883 | -$1,983 | +$12,161 | +$17,588 | +$25,096 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.0% | -31.6% | -32.2% | -31.7% | -32.1% | -32.7% | -28.6% | -20.0% | -15.0% | -0.6% | +3.9% | +5.6% | +8.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $275K | $265K | $250K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $385K | $414K | $427K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$275K to $385K
33.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$250K to $427K
52.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuarts Draft · 24477 · (Tract 711.2) | $313K | $338K | +7.8% | |
| Stuarts Draft | $296K | $315K | +6.4% | |
| South River (Tract 071201) | $303K | $321K | +6.0% | |
| North River (Tract 070200) | $291K | $307K | +5.5% | |
| North River (Tract 070701) | $321K | $337K | +4.9% | |
| South River (Tract 071202) | $303K | $304K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuarts Draft · 24477 · (Tract 711.2) | $313K | $338K | +7.8% | |
| Riverheads area | $349K | $406K | +16.2% | |
| Wayne | $387K | $449K | +15.9% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070802) | $272K | $304K | +11.7% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070801) | $458K | $509K | +11.1% | |
| Middle River area | $281K | $311K | +10.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuarts Draft · 24477 · (Tract 711.2) | $313K | $338K | $177K | |
| Beverley Manor | $241K | $256K | $148K | |
| North River | $321K | $337K | $142K | |
| Riverheads | $289K | $306K | $142K | |
| Fishersville | $264K | $287K | $141K | |
| Pastures | $188K | $189K | $116K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Augusta, VA · ZIP 24477 · Census Tract 51015071102 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$313K
Downside (P10)
$250K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$338K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$427K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $209K | $214K | $212K | $214K | $212K | $210K | $223K | $250K | $266K | $311K | $313K | $325K | $330K | $338K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$103,283 | -$98,683 | -$100,583 | -$99,183 | -$100,383 | -$102,283 | -$89,483 | -$62,483 | -$46,883 | -$1,983 | +$12,161 | +$17,588 | +$25,096 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.0% | -31.6% | -32.2% | -31.7% | -32.1% | -32.7% | -28.6% | -20.0% | -15.0% | -0.6% | +3.9% | +5.6% | +8.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $275K | $265K | $250K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $385K | $414K | $427K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$275K to $385K
33.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$250K to $427K
52.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuarts Draft · 24477 · (Tract 711.2) | $313K | $338K | +7.8% | |
| Stuarts Draft | $296K | $315K | +6.4% | |
| South River (Tract 071201) | $303K | $321K | +6.0% | |
| North River (Tract 070200) | $291K | $307K | +5.5% | |
| North River (Tract 070701) | $321K | $337K | +4.9% | |
| South River (Tract 071202) | $303K | $304K | +0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuarts Draft · 24477 · (Tract 711.2) | $313K | $338K | +7.8% | |
| Riverheads area | $349K | $406K | +16.2% | |
| Wayne | $387K | $449K | +15.9% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070802) | $272K | $304K | +11.7% | |
| Pastures (Tract 070801) | $458K | $509K | +11.1% | |
| Middle River area | $281K | $311K | +10.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuarts Draft · 24477 · (Tract 711.2) | $313K | $338K | $177K | |
| Beverley Manor | $241K | $256K | $148K | |
| North River | $321K | $337K | $142K | |
| Riverheads | $289K | $306K | $142K | |
| Fishersville | $264K | $287K | $141K | |
| Pastures | $188K | $189K | $116K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
