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Weber, UT · ZIP 84414 · Census Tract 49057210203 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$500K
Downside (P10)
$431K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$526K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$705K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $209K | $213K | $235K | $247K | $269K | $307K | $344K | $439K | $474K | $492K | $500K | $503K | $516K | $526K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$291,224 | -$286,924 | -$265,424 | -$252,824 | -$230,724 | -$192,524 | -$155,724 | -$60,824 | -$25,924 | -$7,824 | +$3,353 | +$16,296 | +$25,757 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.3% | -57.4% | -53.1% | -50.6% | -46.2% | -38.5% | -31.1% | -12.2% | -5.2% | -1.6% | +0.7% | +3.3% | +5.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $442K | $418K | $431K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $611K | $679K | $705K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$442K to $611K
33.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$431K to $705K
52.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Ogden | $506K | $526K | +3.9% | |
| Ogden (Tract 201500) | $482K | $537K | +11.5% | |
| Ogden (Tract 211202) | $476K | $521K | +9.4% | |
| Northwest Weber (Tract 210408) | $506K | $545K | +7.6% | |
| North Ogden | $505K | $538K | +6.5% | |
| Northwest Weber (Tract 210405) | $517K | $545K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Ogden | $506K | $526K | +3.9% | |
| Ogden Valley | $845K | $988K | +16.9% | |
| Ogden (Tract 210303) | $595K | $689K | +15.8% | |
| Roy | $364K | $420K | +15.6% | |
| Ogden (Tract 200500) | $317K | $366K | +15.5% | |
| Ogden (Tract 201900) | $248K | $284K | +14.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Ogden | $506K | $526K | $274K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201302) | $333K | $356K | $141K | |
| Ogden (Tract 200500) | $317K | $366K | $138K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201900) | $248K | $284K | $133K | |
| Ogden (Tract 200302) | $231K | $249K | $132K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201800) | $294K | $328K | $126K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Weber, UT · ZIP 84414 · Census Tract 49057210203 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$500K
Downside (P10)
$431K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$526K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$705K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $209K | $213K | $235K | $247K | $269K | $307K | $344K | $439K | $474K | $492K | $500K | $503K | $516K | $526K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$291,224 | -$286,924 | -$265,424 | -$252,824 | -$230,724 | -$192,524 | -$155,724 | -$60,824 | -$25,924 | -$7,824 | +$3,353 | +$16,296 | +$25,757 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.3% | -57.4% | -53.1% | -50.6% | -46.2% | -38.5% | -31.1% | -12.2% | -5.2% | -1.6% | +0.7% | +3.3% | +5.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $442K | $418K | $431K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $611K | $679K | $705K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$442K to $611K
33.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$431K to $705K
52.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Ogden | $506K | $526K | +3.9% | |
| Ogden (Tract 201500) | $482K | $537K | +11.5% | |
| Ogden (Tract 211202) | $476K | $521K | +9.4% | |
| Northwest Weber (Tract 210408) | $506K | $545K | +7.6% | |
| North Ogden | $505K | $538K | +6.5% | |
| Northwest Weber (Tract 210405) | $517K | $545K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Ogden | $506K | $526K | +3.9% | |
| Ogden Valley | $845K | $988K | +16.9% | |
| Ogden (Tract 210303) | $595K | $689K | +15.8% | |
| Roy | $364K | $420K | +15.6% | |
| Ogden (Tract 200500) | $317K | $366K | +15.5% | |
| Ogden (Tract 201900) | $248K | $284K | +14.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Ogden | $506K | $526K | $274K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201302) | $333K | $356K | $141K | |
| Ogden (Tract 200500) | $317K | $366K | $138K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201900) | $248K | $284K | $133K | |
| Ogden (Tract 200302) | $231K | $249K | $132K | |
| Ogden (Tract 201800) | $294K | $328K | $126K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
