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Hidalgo, TX · ZIP 78503 · Census Tract 48215021204 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$179K
Downside (P10)
$148K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$175K
-2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$237K
+33% by 2030
Base case: -2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $229K | $218K | $170K | $170K | $173K | $179K | $176K | $180K | $175K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$50,492 | +$38,992 | -$8,908 | -$8,308 | -$5,408 | -$2,358 | +$1,957 | -$3,974 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +28.3% | +21.8% | -5.0% | -4.7% | -3.0% | -1.3% | +1.1% | -2.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $152K | $152K | $148K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $209K | $225K | $237K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$152K to $209K
32.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$148K to $237K
51.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McAllen · 78503 · (Tract 212.4) | $176K | $175K | -0.9% | |
| McAllen (Tract 020735) | $182K | $206K | +13.6% | |
| McAllen (Tract 020732) | $182K | $205K | +12.3% | |
| McAllen-Pharr (Tract 021409) | $181K | $198K | +9.4% | |
| McAllen-Pharr (Tract 021904) | $176K | $190K | +7.7% | |
| Southeast Hidalgo | $174K | $184K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McAllen · 78503 · (Tract 212.4) | $176K | $175K | -0.9% | |
| McAllen | $119K | $144K | +21.1% | |
| McAllen-Pharr | $163K | $195K | +19.8% | |
| Edinburg (Tract 023530) | $85K | $101K | +18.6% | |
| Edinburg (Tract 023523) | $78K | $92K | +17.9% | |
| Pharr | $115K | $135K | +17.9% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hidalgo, TX · ZIP 78503 · Census Tract 48215021204 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$179K
Downside (P10)
$148K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$175K
-2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$237K
+33% by 2030
Base case: -2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $229K | $218K | $170K | $170K | $173K | $179K | $176K | $180K | $175K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$50,492 | +$38,992 | -$8,908 | -$8,308 | -$5,408 | -$2,358 | +$1,957 | -$3,974 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +28.3% | +21.8% | -5.0% | -4.7% | -3.0% | -1.3% | +1.1% | -2.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $152K | $152K | $148K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $209K | $225K | $237K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$152K to $209K
32.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$148K to $237K
51.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McAllen · 78503 · (Tract 212.4) | $176K | $175K | -0.9% | |
| McAllen (Tract 020735) | $182K | $206K | +13.6% | |
| McAllen (Tract 020732) | $182K | $205K | +12.3% | |
| McAllen-Pharr (Tract 021409) | $181K | $198K | +9.4% | |
| McAllen-Pharr (Tract 021904) | $176K | $190K | +7.7% | |
| Southeast Hidalgo | $174K | $184K | +5.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| McAllen · 78503 · (Tract 212.4) | $176K | $175K | -0.9% | |
| McAllen | $119K | $144K | +21.1% | |
| McAllen-Pharr | $163K | $195K | +19.8% | |
| Edinburg (Tract 023530) | $85K | $101K | +18.6% | |
| Edinburg (Tract 023523) | $78K | $92K | +17.9% | |
| Pharr | $115K | $135K | +17.9% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
