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Ector, TX · ZIP 79764 · Census Tract 48135002701 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$201K
Downside (P10)
$172K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$219K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$313K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $153K | $167K | $186K | $209K | $193K | $201K | $197K | $209K | $219K | $201K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$48,500 | -$34,500 | -$15,000 | +$7,700 | -$8,300 | -$3,993 | +$7,457 | +$18,126 | +$209 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -24.1% | -17.2% | -7.5% | +3.8% | -4.1% | -2.0% | +3.7% | +9.0% | +0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $173K | $177K | $172K | $178K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $235K | $253K | $313K | $225K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$173K to $235K
31.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$178K to $225K
23.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Odessa | $196K | $219K | +11.8% | |
| Odessa (Tract 001700) | $228K | $253K | +11.1% | |
| Odessa (Tract 000500) | $192K | $208K | +8.3% | |
| Odessa (Tract 001000) | $217K | $232K | +6.7% | |
| Odessa (Tract 001600) | $202K | $215K | +6.7% | |
| Odessa (Tract 000400) | $211K | $219K | +4.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Odessa | $196K | $219K | +11.8% | |
| Odessa (Tract 002503) | $261K | $327K | +24.9% | |
| Odessa (Tract 001100) | $153K | $184K | +20.1% | |
| Odessa (Tract 001900) | $88K | $105K | +19.5% | |
| Odessa (Tract 003003) | $343K | $402K | +17.5% | |
| West Odessa | $154K | $178K | +16.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Odessa | $196K | $219K | $141K | |
| West Odessa-Goldsmith | $114K | $120K | $60K | |
| Odessa (Tract 000700) | $114K | $122K | $57K | |
| Odessa (Tract 002000) | $70K | $80K | $54K | |
| Odessa (Tract 001900) | $88K | $105K | $46K | |
| West Odessa | $63K | $67K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Ector, TX · ZIP 79764 · Census Tract 48135002701 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$201K
Downside (P10)
$172K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$219K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$313K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $153K | $167K | $186K | $209K | $193K | $201K | $197K | $209K | $219K | $201K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$48,500 | -$34,500 | -$15,000 | +$7,700 | -$8,300 | -$3,993 | +$7,457 | +$18,126 | +$209 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -24.1% | -17.2% | -7.5% | +3.8% | -4.1% | -2.0% | +3.7% | +9.0% | +0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $173K | $177K | $172K | $178K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $235K | $253K | $313K | $225K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$173K to $235K
31.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$178K to $225K
23.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Odessa | $196K | $219K | +11.8% | |
| Odessa (Tract 001700) | $228K | $253K | +11.1% | |
| Odessa (Tract 000500) | $192K | $208K | +8.3% | |
| Odessa (Tract 001000) | $217K | $232K | +6.7% | |
| Odessa (Tract 001600) | $202K | $215K | +6.7% | |
| Odessa (Tract 000400) | $211K | $219K | +4.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Odessa | $196K | $219K | +11.8% | |
| Odessa (Tract 002503) | $261K | $327K | +24.9% | |
| Odessa (Tract 001100) | $153K | $184K | +20.1% | |
| Odessa (Tract 001900) | $88K | $105K | +19.5% | |
| Odessa (Tract 003003) | $343K | $402K | +17.5% | |
| West Odessa | $154K | $178K | +16.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Odessa | $196K | $219K | $141K | |
| West Odessa-Goldsmith | $114K | $120K | $60K | |
| Odessa (Tract 000700) | $114K | $122K | $57K | |
| Odessa (Tract 002000) | $70K | $80K | $54K | |
| Odessa (Tract 001900) | $88K | $105K | $46K | |
| West Odessa | $63K | $67K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
