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Sumner, TN · ZIP 37066 · Census Tract 47165020501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$546K
Downside (P10)
$450K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$560K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$737K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $329K | $355K | $353K | $355K | $364K | $363K | $391K | $462K | $547K | $534K | $546K | $555K | $551K | $560K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$216,896 | -$191,496 | -$193,296 | -$191,496 | -$182,296 | -$182,796 | -$155,096 | -$84,396 | +$904 | -$11,896 | +$8,904 | +$4,783 | +$13,774 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.7% | -35.1% | -35.4% | -35.1% | -33.4% | -33.5% | -28.4% | -15.5% | +0.2% | -2.2% | +1.6% | +0.9% | +2.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $485K | $481K | $450K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $619K | $661K | $737K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$485K to $619K
24.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$450K to $737K
51.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gallatin · 37066 · (Tract 205.1) | $530K | $560K | +5.6% | |
| 11 | $486K | $546K | +12.4% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 021205) | $537K | $594K | +10.6% | |
| 7 (Tract 021008) | $556K | $602K | +8.2% | |
| 7 (Tract 021007) | $599K | $623K | +4.1% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 021201) | $498K | $502K | +0.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gallatin · 37066 · (Tract 205.1) | $530K | $560K | +5.6% | |
| 12 (Tract 020405) | $373K | $431K | +15.6% | |
| 12 (Tract 020404) | $382K | $441K | +15.3% | |
| 3 (Tract 020901) | $362K | $417K | +15.0% | |
| 3 (Tract 020603) | $403K | $457K | +13.3% | |
| 1 area | $302K | $341K | +13.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gallatin · 37066 · (Tract 205.1) | $530K | $560K | $287K | |
| 1 | $229K | $251K | $155K | |
| Gallatin (Tract 020904) | $234K | $241K | $149K | |
| 4 area | $286K | $303K | $147K | |
| 2 | $268K | $295K | $145K | |
| Gallatin (Tract 020800) | $242K | $264K | $113K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Sumner, TN · ZIP 37066 · Census Tract 47165020501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$546K
Downside (P10)
$450K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$560K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$737K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $329K | $355K | $353K | $355K | $364K | $363K | $391K | $462K | $547K | $534K | $546K | $555K | $551K | $560K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$216,896 | -$191,496 | -$193,296 | -$191,496 | -$182,296 | -$182,796 | -$155,096 | -$84,396 | +$904 | -$11,896 | +$8,904 | +$4,783 | +$13,774 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.7% | -35.1% | -35.4% | -35.1% | -33.4% | -33.5% | -28.4% | -15.5% | +0.2% | -2.2% | +1.6% | +0.9% | +2.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $485K | $481K | $450K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $619K | $661K | $737K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$485K to $619K
24.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$450K to $737K
51.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gallatin · 37066 · (Tract 205.1) | $530K | $560K | +5.6% | |
| 11 | $486K | $546K | +12.4% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 021205) | $537K | $594K | +10.6% | |
| 7 (Tract 021008) | $556K | $602K | +8.2% | |
| 7 (Tract 021007) | $599K | $623K | +4.1% | |
| Hendersonville (Tract 021201) | $498K | $502K | +0.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gallatin · 37066 · (Tract 205.1) | $530K | $560K | +5.6% | |
| 12 (Tract 020405) | $373K | $431K | +15.6% | |
| 12 (Tract 020404) | $382K | $441K | +15.3% | |
| 3 (Tract 020901) | $362K | $417K | +15.0% | |
| 3 (Tract 020603) | $403K | $457K | +13.3% | |
| 1 area | $302K | $341K | +13.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gallatin · 37066 · (Tract 205.1) | $530K | $560K | $287K | |
| 1 | $229K | $251K | $155K | |
| Gallatin (Tract 020904) | $234K | $241K | $149K | |
| 4 area | $286K | $303K | $147K | |
| 2 | $268K | $295K | $145K | |
| Gallatin (Tract 020800) | $242K | $264K | $113K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
