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Memphis, TN · ZIP 38107 · Census Tract 47157002000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$117K
Downside (P10)
$102K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$129K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$158K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $63K | $63K | $57K | $62K | $72K | $81K | $99K | $143K | $96K | $118K | $117K | $118K | $124K | $129K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$54,602 | -$54,202 | -$60,702 | -$55,402 | -$45,602 | -$35,902 | -$18,102 | +$26,098 | -$20,902 | +$798 | +$1,014 | +$7,098 | +$11,650 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -46.5% | -46.2% | -51.7% | -47.2% | -38.9% | -30.6% | -15.4% | +22.2% | -17.8% | +0.7% | +0.9% | +6.1% | +9.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $102K | $104K | $102K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $148K | $156K | $158K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$102K to $148K
38.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$102K to $158K
44.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis · 38107 · (Tract 20) | $119K | $129K | +8.3% | |
| Memphis (Tract 009700) | $120K | $134K | +11.3% | |
| Memphis (Tract 010300) | $113K | $121K | +6.6% | |
| Memphis (Tract 010122) | $113K | $120K | +6.4% | |
| Memphis (Tract 010220) | $121K | $129K | +6.0% | |
| Memphis (Tract 009800) | $120K | $126K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis · 38107 · (Tract 20) | $119K | $129K | +8.3% | |
| 1 area | $157K | $187K | +19.3% | |
| Memphis (Tract 007810) | $77K | $91K | +17.4% | |
| Memphis (Tract 007200) | $303K | $351K | +15.8% | |
| Memphis (Tract 020523) | $103K | $119K | +15.8% | |
| Memphis (Tract 010002) | $96K | $112K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis · 38107 · (Tract 20) | $119K | $129K | $57K | |
| Memphis (Tract 011100) | $61K | $63K | $29K | |
| Memphis (Tract 009902) | $59K | $60K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Memphis, TN · ZIP 38107 · Census Tract 47157002000 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$117K
Downside (P10)
$102K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$129K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$158K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $63K | $63K | $57K | $62K | $72K | $81K | $99K | $143K | $96K | $118K | $117K | $118K | $124K | $129K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$54,602 | -$54,202 | -$60,702 | -$55,402 | -$45,602 | -$35,902 | -$18,102 | +$26,098 | -$20,902 | +$798 | +$1,014 | +$7,098 | +$11,650 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -46.5% | -46.2% | -51.7% | -47.2% | -38.9% | -30.6% | -15.4% | +22.2% | -17.8% | +0.7% | +0.9% | +6.1% | +9.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $102K | $104K | $102K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $148K | $156K | $158K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$102K to $148K
38.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$102K to $158K
44.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis · 38107 · (Tract 20) | $119K | $129K | +8.3% | |
| Memphis (Tract 009700) | $120K | $134K | +11.3% | |
| Memphis (Tract 010300) | $113K | $121K | +6.6% | |
| Memphis (Tract 010122) | $113K | $120K | +6.4% | |
| Memphis (Tract 010220) | $121K | $129K | +6.0% | |
| Memphis (Tract 009800) | $120K | $126K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis · 38107 · (Tract 20) | $119K | $129K | +8.3% | |
| 1 area | $157K | $187K | +19.3% | |
| Memphis (Tract 007810) | $77K | $91K | +17.4% | |
| Memphis (Tract 007200) | $303K | $351K | +15.8% | |
| Memphis (Tract 020523) | $103K | $119K | +15.8% | |
| Memphis (Tract 010002) | $96K | $112K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis · 38107 · (Tract 20) | $119K | $129K | $57K | |
| Memphis (Tract 011100) | $61K | $63K | $29K | |
| Memphis (Tract 009902) | $59K | $60K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
