Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Memphis, TN · ZIP 38133 · Census Tract 47157020834 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$479K
Downside (P10)
$409K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$512K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$696K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $326K | $333K | $409K | $423K | $450K | $479K | $490K | $504K | $512K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$153,575 | -$146,575 | -$70,375 | -$56,175 | -$29,475 | +$10,650 | +$24,579 | +$32,518 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -32.1% | -30.6% | -14.7% | -11.7% | -6.2% | +2.2% | +5.1% | +6.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $413K | $415K | $409K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $556K | $619K | $696K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$413K to $556K
29.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$409K to $696K
56.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartlett · Memphis · (Tract 208.34) | $460K | $512K | +11.3% | |
| Memphis (Tract 000100) | $443K | $503K | +13.6% | |
| Lakeland | $477K | $524K | +9.8% | |
| Memphis (Tract 003500) | $453K | $497K | +9.7% | |
| 2 | $459K | $502K | +9.5% | |
| Memphis (Tract 002900) | $470K | $498K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartlett · Memphis · (Tract 208.34) | $460K | $512K | +11.3% | |
| 1 area | $157K | $187K | +19.3% | |
| Memphis (Tract 007810) | $77K | $91K | +17.4% | |
| Memphis (Tract 007200) | $303K | $351K | +15.8% | |
| Memphis (Tract 020523) | $103K | $119K | +15.8% | |
| Memphis (Tract 010002) | $96K | $112K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartlett · Memphis · (Tract 208.34) | $460K | $512K | $287K | |
| Memphis (Tract 011100) | $61K | $63K | $29K | |
| Memphis (Tract 009902) | $59K | $60K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Memphis, TN · ZIP 38133 · Census Tract 47157020834 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$479K
Downside (P10)
$409K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$512K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$696K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $326K | $333K | $409K | $423K | $450K | $479K | $490K | $504K | $512K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$153,575 | -$146,575 | -$70,375 | -$56,175 | -$29,475 | +$10,650 | +$24,579 | +$32,518 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -32.1% | -30.6% | -14.7% | -11.7% | -6.2% | +2.2% | +5.1% | +6.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $413K | $415K | $409K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $556K | $619K | $696K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$413K to $556K
29.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$409K to $696K
56.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartlett · Memphis · (Tract 208.34) | $460K | $512K | +11.3% | |
| Memphis (Tract 000100) | $443K | $503K | +13.6% | |
| Lakeland | $477K | $524K | +9.8% | |
| Memphis (Tract 003500) | $453K | $497K | +9.7% | |
| 2 | $459K | $502K | +9.5% | |
| Memphis (Tract 002900) | $470K | $498K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartlett · Memphis · (Tract 208.34) | $460K | $512K | +11.3% | |
| 1 area | $157K | $187K | +19.3% | |
| Memphis (Tract 007810) | $77K | $91K | +17.4% | |
| Memphis (Tract 007200) | $303K | $351K | +15.8% | |
| Memphis (Tract 020523) | $103K | $119K | +15.8% | |
| Memphis (Tract 010002) | $96K | $112K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bartlett · Memphis · (Tract 208.34) | $460K | $512K | $287K | |
| Memphis (Tract 011100) | $61K | $63K | $29K | |
| Memphis (Tract 009902) | $59K | $60K | $25K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
