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Lancaster, SC · ZIP 29720 · Census Tract 45057011209 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$478K
Downside (P10)
$393K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$526K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$714K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $358K | $363K | $417K | $441K | $468K | $478K | $502K | $517K | $526K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$120,962 | -$115,562 | -$61,262 | -$37,362 | -$10,962 | +$23,815 | +$38,888 | +$47,476 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.3% | -24.2% | -12.8% | -7.8% | -2.3% | +5.0% | +8.1% | +9.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $414K | $398K | $393K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $605K | $656K | $714K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$414K to $605K
38.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$393K to $714K
61.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Wyck | $461K | $526K | +14.1% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011207) | $447K | $493K | +10.2% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011203) | $504K | $550K | +9.2% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011205) | $493K | $531K | +7.8% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011206) | $445K | $463K | +4.0% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011204) | $499K | $497K | -0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Wyck | $461K | $526K | +14.1% | |
| Lancaster (Tract 010900) | $319K | $367K | +15.0% | |
| Van Wyck | $436K | $495K | +13.5% | |
| Tradesville | $262K | $295K | +12.6% | |
| Lancaster (Tract 010500) | $142K | $159K | +11.7% | |
| Kershaw | $164K | $183K | +11.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Wyck | $461K | $526K | $322K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 011001) | $169K | $179K | $84K | |
| Kershaw | $164K | $183K | $80K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 010500) | $142K | $159K | $80K | |
| Heath Springs | $150K | $153K | $72K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 010700) | $93K | $96K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lancaster, SC · ZIP 29720 · Census Tract 45057011209 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$478K
Downside (P10)
$393K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$526K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$714K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $358K | $363K | $417K | $441K | $468K | $478K | $502K | $517K | $526K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$120,962 | -$115,562 | -$61,262 | -$37,362 | -$10,962 | +$23,815 | +$38,888 | +$47,476 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.3% | -24.2% | -12.8% | -7.8% | -2.3% | +5.0% | +8.1% | +9.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $414K | $398K | $393K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $605K | $656K | $714K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$414K to $605K
38.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$393K to $714K
61.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Wyck | $461K | $526K | +14.1% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011207) | $447K | $493K | +10.2% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011203) | $504K | $550K | +9.2% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011205) | $493K | $531K | +7.8% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011206) | $445K | $463K | +4.0% | |
| Van Wyck (Tract 011204) | $499K | $497K | -0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Wyck | $461K | $526K | +14.1% | |
| Lancaster (Tract 010900) | $319K | $367K | +15.0% | |
| Van Wyck | $436K | $495K | +13.5% | |
| Tradesville | $262K | $295K | +12.6% | |
| Lancaster (Tract 010500) | $142K | $159K | +11.7% | |
| Kershaw | $164K | $183K | +11.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Van Wyck | $461K | $526K | $322K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 011001) | $169K | $179K | $84K | |
| Kershaw | $164K | $183K | $80K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 010500) | $142K | $159K | $80K | |
| Heath Springs | $150K | $153K | $72K | |
| Lancaster (Tract 010700) | $93K | $96K | $65K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
