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Bucks, PA · ZIP 18938 · Census Tract 42017104303 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$741K
Downside (P10)
$632K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$827K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.14M
+54% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $531K | $549K | $539K | $531K | $529K | $548K | $575K | $648K | $690K | $728K | $741K | $775K | $801K | $827K | $755K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$209,775 | -$192,175 | -$202,175 | -$209,875 | -$212,675 | -$193,275 | -$166,475 | -$93,275 | -$51,175 | -$13,175 | +$34,108 | +$59,791 | +$85,737 | +$13,455 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -28.3% | -25.9% | -27.3% | -28.3% | -28.7% | -26.1% | -22.5% | -12.6% | -6.9% | -1.8% | +4.6% | +8.1% | +11.6% | +1.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $637K | $596K | $632K | $672K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $894K | $952K | $1.1M | $859K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$637K to $894K
33.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$672K to $859K
24.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solebury · New Hope · (Tract 1043.3) | $739K | $827K | +11.9% | |
| Lower Makefield | $723K | $825K | +14.1% | |
| Wrightstown | $735K | $805K | +9.6% | |
| Doylestown | $716K | $764K | +6.6% | |
| New Hope | $726K | $750K | +3.3% | |
| Buckingham | $731K | $747K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solebury · New Hope · (Tract 1043.3) | $739K | $827K | +11.9% | |
| Dublin | $403K | $485K | +20.4% | |
| Buckingham | $674K | $800K | +18.6% | |
| Bensalem | $472K | $556K | +17.8% | |
| Levittown | $320K | $374K | +16.9% | |
| Bristol | $307K | $355K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solebury · New Hope · (Tract 1043.3) | $739K | $827K | $506K | |
| Quakertown | $264K | $302K | $159K | |
| Croydon | $282K | $289K | $157K | |
| Bristol (Tract 100403) | $266K | $288K | $149K | |
| Bristol (Tract 100700) | $249K | $271K | $149K | |
| Bristol (Tract 100600) | $280K | $303K | $145K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Bucks, PA · ZIP 18938 · Census Tract 42017104303 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$741K
Downside (P10)
$632K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$827K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.14M
+54% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $531K | $549K | $539K | $531K | $529K | $548K | $575K | $648K | $690K | $728K | $741K | $775K | $801K | $827K | $755K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$209,775 | -$192,175 | -$202,175 | -$209,875 | -$212,675 | -$193,275 | -$166,475 | -$93,275 | -$51,175 | -$13,175 | +$34,108 | +$59,791 | +$85,737 | +$13,455 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -28.3% | -25.9% | -27.3% | -28.3% | -28.7% | -26.1% | -22.5% | -12.6% | -6.9% | -1.8% | +4.6% | +8.1% | +11.6% | +1.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $637K | $596K | $632K | $672K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $894K | $952K | $1.1M | $859K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$637K to $894K
33.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$672K to $859K
24.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solebury · New Hope · (Tract 1043.3) | $739K | $827K | +11.9% | |
| Lower Makefield | $723K | $825K | +14.1% | |
| Wrightstown | $735K | $805K | +9.6% | |
| Doylestown | $716K | $764K | +6.6% | |
| New Hope | $726K | $750K | +3.3% | |
| Buckingham | $731K | $747K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solebury · New Hope · (Tract 1043.3) | $739K | $827K | +11.9% | |
| Dublin | $403K | $485K | +20.4% | |
| Buckingham | $674K | $800K | +18.6% | |
| Bensalem | $472K | $556K | +17.8% | |
| Levittown | $320K | $374K | +16.9% | |
| Bristol | $307K | $355K | +15.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solebury · New Hope · (Tract 1043.3) | $739K | $827K | $506K | |
| Quakertown | $264K | $302K | $159K | |
| Croydon | $282K | $289K | $157K | |
| Bristol (Tract 100403) | $266K | $288K | $149K | |
| Bristol (Tract 100700) | $249K | $271K | $149K | |
| Bristol (Tract 100600) | $280K | $303K | $145K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
