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Stephens, OK · ZIP 73533 · Census Tract 40137000600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$57K
Downside (P10)
$45K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$61K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$88K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $58K | $57K | $52K | $56K | $55K | $48K | $41K | $47K | $49K | $55K | $57K | $58K | $61K | $61K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$852 | +$352 | -$5,248 | -$1,248 | -$2,048 | -$8,748 | -$15,748 | -$10,248 | -$7,648 | -$2,348 | +$845 | +$3,711 | +$4,379 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +1.5% | +0.6% | -9.2% | -2.2% | -3.6% | -15.4% | -27.7% | -18.0% | -13.4% | -4.1% | +1.5% | +6.5% | +7.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $42K | $43K | $45K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $70K | $84K | $88K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$42K to $70K
49.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$45K to $88K
69.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan · 73533 · (Tract 6) | $56K | $61K | +9.1% | |
| Comanche | $108K | $123K | +13.3% | |
| Velma-Alma | $131K | $143K | +9.7% | |
| Duncan (Tract 000102) | $149K | $163K | +9.6% | |
| Duncan (Tract 000400) | $74K | $80K | +8.5% | |
| Duncan (Tract 000300) | $108K | $116K | +7.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan · 73533 · (Tract 6) | $56K | $61K | +9.1% | |
| Comanche | $108K | $123K | +13.3% | |
| Duncan (Tract 000200) | $206K | $232K | +12.4% | |
| Velma-Alma | $131K | $143K | +9.7% | |
| Duncan (Tract 000102) | $149K | $163K | +9.6% | |
| Marlow | $154K | $168K | +9.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan · 73533 · (Tract 6) | $56K | $61K | $43K | |
| Duncan (Tract 000101) | $165K | $178K | $89K | |
| Marlow | $154K | $168K | $70K | |
| Duncan (Tract 000300) | $108K | $116K | $66K | |
| Velma-Alma | $131K | $143K | $66K | |
| Duncan (Tract 000400) | $74K | $80K | $42K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Stephens, OK · ZIP 73533 · Census Tract 40137000600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$57K
Downside (P10)
$45K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$61K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$88K
+54% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +54%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $58K | $57K | $52K | $56K | $55K | $48K | $41K | $47K | $49K | $55K | $57K | $58K | $61K | $61K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$852 | +$352 | -$5,248 | -$1,248 | -$2,048 | -$8,748 | -$15,748 | -$10,248 | -$7,648 | -$2,348 | +$845 | +$3,711 | +$4,379 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +1.5% | +0.6% | -9.2% | -2.2% | -3.6% | -15.4% | -27.7% | -18.0% | -13.4% | -4.1% | +1.5% | +6.5% | +7.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $42K | $43K | $45K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $70K | $84K | $88K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$42K to $70K
49.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$45K to $88K
69.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan · 73533 · (Tract 6) | $56K | $61K | +9.1% | |
| Comanche | $108K | $123K | +13.3% | |
| Velma-Alma | $131K | $143K | +9.7% | |
| Duncan (Tract 000102) | $149K | $163K | +9.6% | |
| Duncan (Tract 000400) | $74K | $80K | +8.5% | |
| Duncan (Tract 000300) | $108K | $116K | +7.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan · 73533 · (Tract 6) | $56K | $61K | +9.1% | |
| Comanche | $108K | $123K | +13.3% | |
| Duncan (Tract 000200) | $206K | $232K | +12.4% | |
| Velma-Alma | $131K | $143K | +9.7% | |
| Duncan (Tract 000102) | $149K | $163K | +9.6% | |
| Marlow | $154K | $168K | +9.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duncan · 73533 · (Tract 6) | $56K | $61K | $43K | |
| Duncan (Tract 000101) | $165K | $178K | $89K | |
| Marlow | $154K | $168K | $70K | |
| Duncan (Tract 000300) | $108K | $116K | $66K | |
| Velma-Alma | $131K | $143K | $66K | |
| Duncan (Tract 000400) | $74K | $80K | $42K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
