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Rogers, OK · ZIP 74019 · Census Tract 40131050601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$247K
Downside (P10)
$208K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$262K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$346K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $159K | $161K | $158K | $163K | $162K | $166K | $170K | $197K | $209K | $234K | $247K | $243K | $253K | $262K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$87,806 | -$85,706 | -$88,706 | -$83,906 | -$84,606 | -$80,906 | -$76,906 | -$49,606 | -$38,106 | -$12,506 | -$3,440 | +$5,908 | +$15,469 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -35.6% | -34.7% | -35.9% | -34.0% | -34.3% | -32.8% | -31.2% | -20.1% | -15.4% | -5.1% | -1.4% | +2.4% | +6.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $212K | $215K | $208K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $294K | $333K | $346K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$212K to $294K
33.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$208K to $346K
52.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claremore area | $242K | $262K | +8.3% | |
| Catoosa (Tract 050404) | $250K | $283K | +13.2% | |
| Catoosa (Tract 050409) | $253K | $286K | +12.8% | |
| Claremore (Tract 050603) | $237K | $266K | +12.1% | |
| Claremore (Tract 050604) | $238K | $266K | +11.8% | |
| Oologah-Talala | $241K | $247K | +2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claremore area | $242K | $262K | +8.3% | |
| Catoosa | $451K | $518K | +14.9% | |
| Claremore (Tract 050101) | $183K | $210K | +14.5% | |
| Claremore (Tract 050203) | $191K | $219K | +14.5% | |
| Inola | $277K | $316K | +13.9% | |
| Claremore (Tract 050602) | $237K | $269K | +13.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claremore area | $242K | $262K | $138K | |
| Claremore (Tract 050201) | $210K | $227K | $96K | |
| Claremore (Tract 050302) | $156K | $171K | $92K | |
| Claremore (Tract 050202) | $169K | $184K | $89K | |
| Claremore (Tract 050104) | $122K | $130K | $76K | |
| Chelsea | $116K | $118K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Rogers, OK · ZIP 74019 · Census Tract 40131050601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$247K
Downside (P10)
$208K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$262K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$346K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $159K | $161K | $158K | $163K | $162K | $166K | $170K | $197K | $209K | $234K | $247K | $243K | $253K | $262K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$87,806 | -$85,706 | -$88,706 | -$83,906 | -$84,606 | -$80,906 | -$76,906 | -$49,606 | -$38,106 | -$12,506 | -$3,440 | +$5,908 | +$15,469 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -35.6% | -34.7% | -35.9% | -34.0% | -34.3% | -32.8% | -31.2% | -20.1% | -15.4% | -5.1% | -1.4% | +2.4% | +6.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $212K | $215K | $208K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $294K | $333K | $346K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$212K to $294K
33.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$208K to $346K
52.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claremore area | $242K | $262K | +8.3% | |
| Catoosa (Tract 050404) | $250K | $283K | +13.2% | |
| Catoosa (Tract 050409) | $253K | $286K | +12.8% | |
| Claremore (Tract 050603) | $237K | $266K | +12.1% | |
| Claremore (Tract 050604) | $238K | $266K | +11.8% | |
| Oologah-Talala | $241K | $247K | +2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claremore area | $242K | $262K | +8.3% | |
| Catoosa | $451K | $518K | +14.9% | |
| Claremore (Tract 050101) | $183K | $210K | +14.5% | |
| Claremore (Tract 050203) | $191K | $219K | +14.5% | |
| Inola | $277K | $316K | +13.9% | |
| Claremore (Tract 050602) | $237K | $269K | +13.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claremore area | $242K | $262K | $138K | |
| Claremore (Tract 050201) | $210K | $227K | $96K | |
| Claremore (Tract 050302) | $156K | $171K | $92K | |
| Claremore (Tract 050202) | $169K | $184K | $89K | |
| Claremore (Tract 050104) | $122K | $130K | $76K | |
| Chelsea | $116K | $118K | $69K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
