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Delaware, OK · ZIP 74364 · Census Tract 40041376100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$110K
Downside (P10)
$86K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$118K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$155K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $76K | $79K | $81K | $81K | $84K | $80K | $82K | $95K | $91K | $103K | $110K | $111K | $114K | $118K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$33,837 | -$31,037 | -$28,437 | -$28,337 | -$25,637 | -$29,637 | -$28,037 | -$14,737 | -$18,537 | -$6,237 | +$967 | +$4,231 | +$8,359 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -30.9% | -28.3% | -25.9% | -25.8% | -23.4% | -27.0% | -25.6% | -13.4% | -16.9% | -5.7% | +0.9% | +3.9% | +7.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $93K | $91K | $86K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $131K | $142K | $155K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$93K to $131K
34.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$86K to $155K
57.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas | $107K | $118K | +10.6% | |
| Jay (Tract 375901) | $141K | $156K | +10.2% | |
| Grove (Tract 375602) | $164K | $178K | +8.5% | |
| Jay (Tract 376000) | $141K | $153K | +8.3% | |
| Grove (Tract 375806) | $123K | $130K | +5.6% | |
| Colcord | $123K | $125K | +1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas | $107K | $118K | +10.6% | |
| Grove (Tract 375803) | $169K | $191K | +13.2% | |
| Grove (Tract 375805) | $238K | $266K | +12.0% | |
| Jay (Tract 375902) | $181K | $200K | +10.8% | |
| Jay (Tract 375901) | $141K | $156K | +10.2% | |
| Grove (Tract 375601) | $206K | $226K | +9.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas | $107K | $118K | $68K | |
| Jay (Tract 376000) | $141K | $153K | $95K | |
| Grove (Tract 375803) | $169K | $191K | $95K | |
| Jay (Tract 375901) | $141K | $156K | $82K | |
| Colcord | $123K | $125K | $81K | |
| Grove (Tract 375806) | $123K | $130K | $68K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Delaware, OK · ZIP 74364 · Census Tract 40041376100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$110K
Downside (P10)
$86K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$118K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$155K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $76K | $79K | $81K | $81K | $84K | $80K | $82K | $95K | $91K | $103K | $110K | $111K | $114K | $118K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$33,837 | -$31,037 | -$28,437 | -$28,337 | -$25,637 | -$29,637 | -$28,037 | -$14,737 | -$18,537 | -$6,237 | +$967 | +$4,231 | +$8,359 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -30.9% | -28.3% | -25.9% | -25.8% | -23.4% | -27.0% | -25.6% | -13.4% | -16.9% | -5.7% | +0.9% | +3.9% | +7.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $93K | $91K | $86K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $131K | $142K | $155K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$93K to $131K
34.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$86K to $155K
57.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas | $107K | $118K | +10.6% | |
| Jay (Tract 375901) | $141K | $156K | +10.2% | |
| Grove (Tract 375602) | $164K | $178K | +8.5% | |
| Jay (Tract 376000) | $141K | $153K | +8.3% | |
| Grove (Tract 375806) | $123K | $130K | +5.6% | |
| Colcord | $123K | $125K | +1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas | $107K | $118K | +10.6% | |
| Grove (Tract 375803) | $169K | $191K | +13.2% | |
| Grove (Tract 375805) | $238K | $266K | +12.0% | |
| Jay (Tract 375902) | $181K | $200K | +10.8% | |
| Jay (Tract 375901) | $141K | $156K | +10.2% | |
| Grove (Tract 375601) | $206K | $226K | +9.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas | $107K | $118K | $68K | |
| Jay (Tract 376000) | $141K | $153K | $95K | |
| Grove (Tract 375803) | $169K | $191K | $95K | |
| Jay (Tract 375901) | $141K | $156K | $82K | |
| Colcord | $123K | $125K | $81K | |
| Grove (Tract 375806) | $123K | $130K | $68K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
