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Union, OH · ZIP 43040 · Census Tract 39159050303 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$348K
Downside (P10)
$317K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$382K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$484K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $181K | $194K | $208K | $211K | $221K | $234K | $283K | $311K | $344K | $348K | $352K | $366K | $382K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$175,148 | -$166,848 | -$153,648 | -$140,148 | -$136,948 | -$126,648 | -$113,848 | -$64,548 | -$36,248 | -$3,648 | +$4,427 | +$18,155 | +$33,993 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.4% | -48.0% | -44.2% | -40.3% | -39.4% | -36.4% | -32.7% | -18.6% | -10.4% | -1.0% | +1.3% | +5.2% | +9.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $307K | $319K | $317K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $420K | $430K | $484K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$307K to $420K
32.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$317K to $484K
43.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris | $341K | $382K | +11.9% | |
| Leesburg area | $323K | $371K | +14.8% | |
| Marysville (Tract 050501) | $362K | $398K | +10.2% | |
| Marysville (Tract 050401) | $289K | $314K | +8.8% | |
| Allen area | $378K | $400K | +5.8% | |
| Millcreek area | $291K | $306K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris | $341K | $382K | +11.9% | |
| Leesburg area | $323K | $371K | +14.8% | |
| Taylor area | $243K | $272K | +12.1% | |
| Marysville (Tract 050402) | $258K | $287K | +11.2% | |
| Marysville (Tract 050501) | $362K | $398K | +10.2% | |
| Union area | $283K | $309K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris | $341K | $382K | $167K | |
| Taylor area | $243K | $272K | $159K | |
| Marysville (Tract 050402) | $258K | $287K | $146K | |
| Millcreek area | $291K | $306K | $142K | |
| Jackson area | $240K | $258K | $133K | |
| Marysville (Tract 050502) | $233K | $253K | $101K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Union, OH · ZIP 43040 · Census Tract 39159050303 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$348K
Downside (P10)
$317K
-9% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$382K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$484K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $173K | $181K | $194K | $208K | $211K | $221K | $234K | $283K | $311K | $344K | $348K | $352K | $366K | $382K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$175,148 | -$166,848 | -$153,648 | -$140,148 | -$136,948 | -$126,648 | -$113,848 | -$64,548 | -$36,248 | -$3,648 | +$4,427 | +$18,155 | +$33,993 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.4% | -48.0% | -44.2% | -40.3% | -39.4% | -36.4% | -32.7% | -18.6% | -10.4% | -1.0% | +1.3% | +5.2% | +9.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $307K | $319K | $317K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $420K | $430K | $484K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$307K to $420K
32.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$317K to $484K
43.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris | $341K | $382K | +11.9% | |
| Leesburg area | $323K | $371K | +14.8% | |
| Marysville (Tract 050501) | $362K | $398K | +10.2% | |
| Marysville (Tract 050401) | $289K | $314K | +8.8% | |
| Allen area | $378K | $400K | +5.8% | |
| Millcreek area | $291K | $306K | +5.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris | $341K | $382K | +11.9% | |
| Leesburg area | $323K | $371K | +14.8% | |
| Taylor area | $243K | $272K | +12.1% | |
| Marysville (Tract 050402) | $258K | $287K | +11.2% | |
| Marysville (Tract 050501) | $362K | $398K | +10.2% | |
| Union area | $283K | $309K | +9.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris | $341K | $382K | $167K | |
| Taylor area | $243K | $272K | $159K | |
| Marysville (Tract 050402) | $258K | $287K | $146K | |
| Millcreek area | $291K | $306K | $142K | |
| Jackson area | $240K | $258K | $133K | |
| Marysville (Tract 050502) | $233K | $253K | $101K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
