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Knox, OH · Census Tract 39083200005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$121K
Downside (P10)
$116K
-4% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$155K
+27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$226K
+86% by 2030
Base case: +27% by 2030, with a forecast range from -4% to +86%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $121K | $144K | $142K | $148K | $155K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$22,663 | +$21,013 | +$27,028 | +$33,251 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +18.7% | +17.3% | +22.3% | +27.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $118K | $109K | $110K | $116K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $191K | $201K | $216K | $226K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$118K to $191K
50.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$116K to $226K
70.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200005 | $121K | $155K | +27.4% | |
| Knox (Tract 360000) | $123K | $166K | +35.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 040003) | $99K | $134K | +35.2% | |
| Knox (Tract 920000) | $84K | $110K | +30.9% | |
| Morris area | $176K | $192K | +8.9% | |
| Mount Vernon area | $167K | $179K | +7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200005 | $121K | $155K | +27.4% | |
| Knox (Tract 960002) | $623K | $884K | +41.7% | |
| Knox (Tract 320008) | $368K | $506K | +37.4% | |
| Knox (Tract 240007) | $54K | $74K | +37.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 480003) | $384K | $522K | +36.0% | |
| Knox (Tract 360000) | $123K | $166K | +35.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200005 | $121K | $155K | $110K | |
| Mount Vernon area (Tract 007600) | $167K | $179K | $113K | |
| Mount Vernon area (Tract 007302) | $233K | $244K | $112K | |
| Knox | $54K | $74K | $98K | |
| Morris area | $176K | $192K | $94K | |
| Pike area | $267K | $271K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Knox, OH · Census Tract 39083200005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$121K
Downside (P10)
$116K
-4% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$155K
+27% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$226K
+86% by 2030
Base case: +27% by 2030, with a forecast range from -4% to +86%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $121K | $144K | $142K | $148K | $155K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$22,663 | +$21,013 | +$27,028 | +$33,251 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +18.7% | +17.3% | +22.3% | +27.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $118K | $109K | $110K | $116K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $191K | $201K | $216K | $226K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$118K to $191K
50.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$116K to $226K
70.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200005 | $121K | $155K | +27.4% | |
| Knox (Tract 360000) | $123K | $166K | +35.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 040003) | $99K | $134K | +35.2% | |
| Knox (Tract 920000) | $84K | $110K | +30.9% | |
| Morris area | $176K | $192K | +8.9% | |
| Mount Vernon area | $167K | $179K | +7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200005 | $121K | $155K | +27.4% | |
| Knox (Tract 960002) | $623K | $884K | +41.7% | |
| Knox (Tract 320008) | $368K | $506K | +37.4% | |
| Knox (Tract 240007) | $54K | $74K | +37.3% | |
| Knox (Tract 480003) | $384K | $522K | +36.0% | |
| Knox (Tract 360000) | $123K | $166K | +35.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 200005 | $121K | $155K | $110K | |
| Mount Vernon area (Tract 007600) | $167K | $179K | $113K | |
| Mount Vernon area (Tract 007302) | $233K | $244K | $112K | |
| Knox | $54K | $74K | $98K | |
| Morris area | $176K | $192K | $94K | |
| Pike area | $267K | $271K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
