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Seneca, NY · ZIP 14521 · Census Tract 36099950900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$181K
Downside (P10)
$156K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$196K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$271K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $100K | $100K | $107K | $113K | $115K | $125K | $134K | $151K | $162K | $178K | $181K | $183K | $188K | $196K | $182K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$80,517 | -$80,617 | -$73,317 | -$67,117 | -$65,317 | -$55,917 | -$47,017 | -$29,217 | -$18,817 | -$3,017 | +$2,855 | +$7,647 | +$15,770 | +$1,663 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.6% | -44.7% | -40.6% | -37.2% | -36.2% | -31.0% | -26.0% | -16.2% | -10.4% | -1.7% | +1.6% | +4.2% | +8.7% | +0.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $153K | $146K | $156K | $162K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $239K | $269K | $271K | $209K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$153K to $239K
46.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$162K to $209K
25.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lodi area | $178K | $196K | +10.3% | |
| Romulus area | $224K | $244K | +9.2% | |
| Fayette | $176K | $190K | +8.4% | |
| Tyre area | $163K | $175K | +7.2% | |
| Seneca Falls (Tract 950200) | $148K | $159K | +7.2% | |
| Seneca Falls (Tract 950400) | $149K | $157K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lodi area | $178K | $196K | +10.3% | |
| Waterloo (Tract 950500) | $112K | $127K | +13.5% | |
| Covert | $231K | $257K | +10.9% | |
| Seneca Falls | $124K | $137K | +10.2% | |
| Romulus area | $224K | $244K | +9.2% | |
| Waterloo (Tract 950600) | $130K | $141K | +8.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lodi area | $178K | $196K | $115K | |
| Seneca Falls (Tract 950400) | $149K | $157K | $86K | |
| Seneca Falls (Tract 950200) | $148K | $159K | $80K | |
| Seneca Falls (Tract 950300) | $124K | $137K | $71K | |
| Waterloo (Tract 950600) | $130K | $141K | $63K | |
| Waterloo (Tract 950500) | $112K | $127K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Seneca, NY · ZIP 14521 · Census Tract 36099950900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$181K
Downside (P10)
$156K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$196K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$271K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $100K | $100K | $107K | $113K | $115K | $125K | $134K | $151K | $162K | $178K | $181K | $183K | $188K | $196K | $182K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$80,517 | -$80,617 | -$73,317 | -$67,117 | -$65,317 | -$55,917 | -$47,017 | -$29,217 | -$18,817 | -$3,017 | +$2,855 | +$7,647 | +$15,770 | +$1,663 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -44.6% | -44.7% | -40.6% | -37.2% | -36.2% | -31.0% | -26.0% | -16.2% | -10.4% | -1.7% | +1.6% | +4.2% | +8.7% | +0.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $153K | $146K | $156K | $162K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $239K | $269K | $271K | $209K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$153K to $239K
46.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$162K to $209K
25.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lodi area | $178K | $196K | +10.3% | |
| Romulus area | $224K | $244K | +9.2% | |
| Fayette | $176K | $190K | +8.4% | |
| Tyre area | $163K | $175K | +7.2% | |
| Seneca Falls (Tract 950200) | $148K | $159K | +7.2% | |
| Seneca Falls (Tract 950400) | $149K | $157K | +5.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lodi area | $178K | $196K | +10.3% | |
| Waterloo (Tract 950500) | $112K | $127K | +13.5% | |
| Covert | $231K | $257K | +10.9% | |
| Seneca Falls | $124K | $137K | +10.2% | |
| Romulus area | $224K | $244K | +9.2% | |
| Waterloo (Tract 950600) | $130K | $141K | +8.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lodi area | $178K | $196K | $115K | |
| Seneca Falls (Tract 950400) | $149K | $157K | $86K | |
| Seneca Falls (Tract 950200) | $148K | $159K | $80K | |
| Seneca Falls (Tract 950300) | $124K | $137K | $71K | |
| Waterloo (Tract 950600) | $130K | $141K | $63K | |
| Waterloo (Tract 950500) | $112K | $127K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
