What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36091061304 in Saratoga Springs · 12866 · (Tract 613.4)?

Worldcastr forecasts median home values at $328,218 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36091061304 in Saratoga Springs · 12866 · (Tract 613.4)?

Worldcastr forecasts median home values at $328,218 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.2%.

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Parcel 36091061304 (Saratoga Springs) Home Price Forecast | Worldcastr

Parcel 36091061304, Saratoga Springs · 12866 · (Tract 613.4) Home Price Forecast

Saratoga, NY · ZIP 12866 · Census Tract 36091061304 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$328K

Downside (P10)

$258K

-21% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$362K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$494K

+51% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$228K	$239K	$284K	$290K	$323K	$328K	$339K	$355K	$362K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$100,618	-$88,918	-$44,718	-$38,218	-$5,118		+$10,660	+$26,392	+$33,553
Growth % vs 2026	-30.7%	-27.1%	-13.6%	-11.6%	-1.6%		+3.2%	+8.0%	+10.2%
Downside (P10)							$265K	$267K	$258K
Upside (P90)							$401K	$444K	$494K

Forecast Confidence

64%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$265K to $401K

40.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$258K to $494K

65.4% of median

Interpretation

Worldcastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.2% · Spread: 65%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 36091061304, Saratoga Springs · 12866 · (Tract 613.4) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).