What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36091061001 in Saratoga Springs · 12866 · (Tract 610.1)?

Worldcastr forecasts median home values at $776,408 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 36091061001 in Saratoga Springs · 12866 · (Tract 610.1)?

Worldcastr forecasts median home values at $776,408 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.7%.

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Parcel 36091061001 (Saratoga Springs) Home Price Forecast | Worldcastr

Parcel 36091061001, Saratoga Springs · 12866 · (Tract 610.1) Home Price Forecast

Saratoga, NY · ZIP 12866 · Census Tract 36091061001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$776K

Downside (P10)

$634K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$867K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$1.22M

+57% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$732K	$810K	$828K	$815K	$763K	$776K	$796K	$832K	$867K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$44,108	+$33,492	+$51,292	+$38,892	-$13,808		+$19,886	+$55,797	+$90,691
Growth % vs 2026	-5.7%	+4.3%	+6.6%	+5.0%	-1.8%		+2.6%	+7.2%	+11.7%
Downside (P10)							$667K	$650K	$634K
Upside (P90)							$1.0M	$1.1M	$1.2M

Forecast Confidence

63%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$667K to $1.0M

44.8% of median

Long-horizon band

$634K to $1.2M

67.7% of median

Interpretation

Worldcastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.7% · Spread: 68%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 36091061001, Saratoga Springs · 12866 · (Tract 610.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).