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Fulton, NY · ZIP 13470 · Census Tract 36035970500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$120K
Downside (P10)
$104K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$131K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$177K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $87K | $88K | $92K | $92K | $94K | $102K | $104K | $114K | $116K | $116K | $120K | $123K | $129K | $131K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$33,354 | -$32,454 | -$28,654 | -$27,954 | -$26,454 | -$18,454 | -$16,154 | -$6,454 | -$4,754 | -$4,554 | +$3,111 | +$8,677 | +$10,835 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -27.7% | -27.0% | -23.8% | -23.2% | -22.0% | -15.3% | -13.4% | -5.4% | -4.0% | -3.8% | +2.6% | +7.2% | +9.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $108K | $105K | $104K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $147K | $159K | $177K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$108K to $147K
31.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$104K to $177K
55.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratford area | $118K | $131K | +11.6% | |
| Gloversville (Tract 971000) | $138K | $154K | +11.8% | |
| Johnstown | $156K | $173K | +11.1% | |
| Gloversville (Tract 970900) | $119K | $131K | +10.2% | |
| Gloversville (Tract 970800) | $112K | $120K | +6.9% | |
| Gloversville (Tract 971100) | $103K | $106K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratford area | $118K | $131K | +11.6% | |
| Northampton | $213K | $243K | +14.1% | |
| Johnstown (Tract 970602) | $186K | $209K | +12.4% | |
| Johnstown area | $215K | $241K | +12.2% | |
| Gloversville | $138K | $154K | +11.8% | |
| Johnstown (Tract 971200) | $156K | $173K | +11.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratford area | $118K | $131K | $73K | |
| Gloversville (Tract 970900) | $119K | $131K | $79K | |
| Gloversville (Tract 971000) | $138K | $154K | $64K | |
| Gloversville (Tract 971100) | $103K | $106K | $51K | |
| Gloversville (Tract 970800) | $112K | $120K | $45K | |
| Gloversville (Tract 970700) | $77K | $80K | $33K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Fulton, NY · ZIP 13470 · Census Tract 36035970500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$120K
Downside (P10)
$104K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$131K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$177K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $87K | $88K | $92K | $92K | $94K | $102K | $104K | $114K | $116K | $116K | $120K | $123K | $129K | $131K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$33,354 | -$32,454 | -$28,654 | -$27,954 | -$26,454 | -$18,454 | -$16,154 | -$6,454 | -$4,754 | -$4,554 | +$3,111 | +$8,677 | +$10,835 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -27.7% | -27.0% | -23.8% | -23.2% | -22.0% | -15.3% | -13.4% | -5.4% | -4.0% | -3.8% | +2.6% | +7.2% | +9.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $108K | $105K | $104K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $147K | $159K | $177K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$108K to $147K
31.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$104K to $177K
55.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratford area | $118K | $131K | +11.6% | |
| Gloversville (Tract 971000) | $138K | $154K | +11.8% | |
| Johnstown | $156K | $173K | +11.1% | |
| Gloversville (Tract 970900) | $119K | $131K | +10.2% | |
| Gloversville (Tract 970800) | $112K | $120K | +6.9% | |
| Gloversville (Tract 971100) | $103K | $106K | +3.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratford area | $118K | $131K | +11.6% | |
| Northampton | $213K | $243K | +14.1% | |
| Johnstown (Tract 970602) | $186K | $209K | +12.4% | |
| Johnstown area | $215K | $241K | +12.2% | |
| Gloversville | $138K | $154K | +11.8% | |
| Johnstown (Tract 971200) | $156K | $173K | +11.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stratford area | $118K | $131K | $73K | |
| Gloversville (Tract 970900) | $119K | $131K | $79K | |
| Gloversville (Tract 971000) | $138K | $154K | $64K | |
| Gloversville (Tract 971100) | $103K | $106K | $51K | |
| Gloversville (Tract 970800) | $112K | $120K | $45K | |
| Gloversville (Tract 970700) | $77K | $80K | $33K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
