Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Vance, NC · ZIP 27536 · Census Tract 37181960700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$78K
Downside (P10)
$55K
-29% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$81K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$115K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -29% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $66K | $60K | $59K | $65K | $67K | $59K | $59K | $68K | $77K | $75K | $78K | $78K | $80K | $81K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$11,887 | -$18,287 | -$18,987 | -$13,187 | -$11,787 | -$19,287 | -$19,187 | -$10,087 | -$987 | -$2,987 | -$184 | +$1,549 | +$3,042 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -15.2% | -23.4% | -24.3% | -16.8% | -15.1% | -24.6% | -24.5% | -12.9% | -1.3% | -3.8% | -0.2% | +2.0% | +3.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $64K | $58K | $55K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $93K | $100K | $115K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$64K to $93K
37.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$55K to $115K
73.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henderson · 27536 · (Tract 9607) | $77K | $81K | +5.7% | |
| Sandy Creek (Tract 960901) | $113K | $128K | +12.8% | |
| Henderson (Tract 960600) | $119K | $132K | +11.1% | |
| Henderson (Tract 960500) | $124K | $132K | +5.7% | |
| Sandy Creek (Tract 960903) | $81K | $85K | +4.2% | |
| Henderson (Tract 960800) | $79K | $82K | +4.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henderson · 27536 · (Tract 9607) | $77K | $81K | +5.7% | |
| Sandy Creek | $113K | $128K | +12.8% | |
| Middleburg | $210K | $234K | +11.5% | |
| Henderson (Tract 960600) | $119K | $132K | +11.1% | |
| Townsville area | $142K | $157K | +10.3% | |
| Henderson (Tract 960400) | $221K | $243K | +10.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henderson · 27536 · (Tract 9607) | $77K | $81K | $60K | |
| Henderson (Tract 960600) | $119K | $132K | $71K | |
| Henderson (Tract 960500) | $124K | $132K | $67K | |
| Sandy Creek (Tract 960901) | $113K | $128K | $58K | |
| Sandy Creek (Tract 960903) | $81K | $85K | $50K | |
| Henderson (Tract 960800) | $79K | $82K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Vance, NC · ZIP 27536 · Census Tract 37181960700 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$78K
Downside (P10)
$55K
-29% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$81K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$115K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -29% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 60% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $66K | $60K | $59K | $65K | $67K | $59K | $59K | $68K | $77K | $75K | $78K | $78K | $80K | $81K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$11,887 | -$18,287 | -$18,987 | -$13,187 | -$11,787 | -$19,287 | -$19,187 | -$10,087 | -$987 | -$2,987 | -$184 | +$1,549 | +$3,042 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -15.2% | -23.4% | -24.3% | -16.8% | -15.1% | -24.6% | -24.5% | -12.9% | -1.3% | -3.8% | -0.2% | +2.0% | +3.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $64K | $58K | $55K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $93K | $100K | $115K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$64K to $93K
37.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$55K to $115K
73.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henderson · 27536 · (Tract 9607) | $77K | $81K | +5.7% | |
| Sandy Creek (Tract 960901) | $113K | $128K | +12.8% | |
| Henderson (Tract 960600) | $119K | $132K | +11.1% | |
| Henderson (Tract 960500) | $124K | $132K | +5.7% | |
| Sandy Creek (Tract 960903) | $81K | $85K | +4.2% | |
| Henderson (Tract 960800) | $79K | $82K | +4.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henderson · 27536 · (Tract 9607) | $77K | $81K | +5.7% | |
| Sandy Creek | $113K | $128K | +12.8% | |
| Middleburg | $210K | $234K | +11.5% | |
| Henderson (Tract 960600) | $119K | $132K | +11.1% | |
| Townsville area | $142K | $157K | +10.3% | |
| Henderson (Tract 960400) | $221K | $243K | +10.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henderson · 27536 · (Tract 9607) | $77K | $81K | $60K | |
| Henderson (Tract 960600) | $119K | $132K | $71K | |
| Henderson (Tract 960500) | $124K | $132K | $67K | |
| Sandy Creek (Tract 960901) | $113K | $128K | $58K | |
| Sandy Creek (Tract 960903) | $81K | $85K | $50K | |
| Henderson (Tract 960800) | $79K | $82K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
