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Raleigh, NC · ZIP 27613 · Census Tract 37183053719 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$484K
Downside (P10)
$418K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$522K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$716K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $244K | $253K | $267K | $280K | $292K | $305K | $333K | $404K | $434K | $473K | $484K | $495K | $521K | $522K | $495K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$239,377 | -$230,277 | -$216,477 | -$203,477 | -$191,777 | -$179,077 | -$150,577 | -$80,177 | -$49,377 | -$10,977 | +$11,249 | +$37,417 | +$38,685 | +$11,526 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.5% | -47.6% | -44.8% | -42.1% | -39.6% | -37.0% | -31.1% | -16.6% | -10.2% | -2.3% | +2.3% | +7.7% | +8.0% | +2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $423K | $431K | $418K | $436K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $595K | $659K | $716K | $545K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$423K to $595K
34.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$436K to $545K
21.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh (Tract 052305) | $486K | $549K | +12.9% | |
| Cary (Tract 053521) | $481K | $538K | +11.9% | |
| Cary (Tract 053513) | $485K | $533K | +9.8% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052505) | $483K | $505K | +4.5% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 053715) | $480K | $474K | -1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh (Tract 050700) | $462K | $560K | +21.1% | |
| White Oak | $528K | $639K | +21.0% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052507) | $510K | $616K | +20.8% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | +19.3% | |
| Holly Springs | $501K | $596K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Marys | $254K | $290K | $141K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | $136K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052811) | $239K | $260K | $133K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052002) | $245K | $272K | $132K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052704) | $197K | $229K | $130K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Raleigh, NC · ZIP 27613 · Census Tract 37183053719 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$484K
Downside (P10)
$418K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$522K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$716K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $244K | $253K | $267K | $280K | $292K | $305K | $333K | $404K | $434K | $473K | $484K | $495K | $521K | $522K | $495K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$239,377 | -$230,277 | -$216,477 | -$203,477 | -$191,777 | -$179,077 | -$150,577 | -$80,177 | -$49,377 | -$10,977 | +$11,249 | +$37,417 | +$38,685 | +$11,526 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -49.5% | -47.6% | -44.8% | -42.1% | -39.6% | -37.0% | -31.1% | -16.6% | -10.2% | -2.3% | +2.3% | +7.7% | +8.0% | +2.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $423K | $431K | $418K | $436K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $595K | $659K | $716K | $545K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$423K to $595K
34.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$436K to $545K
21.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh (Tract 052305) | $486K | $549K | +12.9% | |
| Cary (Tract 053521) | $481K | $538K | +11.9% | |
| Cary (Tract 053513) | $485K | $533K | +9.8% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052505) | $483K | $505K | +4.5% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 053715) | $480K | $474K | -1.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raleigh (Tract 050700) | $462K | $560K | +21.1% | |
| White Oak | $528K | $639K | +21.0% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052507) | $510K | $616K | +20.8% | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | +19.3% | |
| Holly Springs | $501K | $596K | +19.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Marys | $254K | $290K | $141K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052101) | $230K | $274K | $136K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052811) | $239K | $260K | $133K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052002) | $245K | $272K | $132K | |
| Raleigh (Tract 052704) | $197K | $229K | $130K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
