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Durham, NC · Census Tract 37063000007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$988K
Downside (P10)
$1.12M
+13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.44M
+46% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.93M
+95% by 2030
Base case: +46% by 2030, with a forecast range from +13% to +95%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $988K | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$163,237 | +$233,091 | +$326,284 | +$449,672 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +16.5% | +23.6% | +33.0% | +45.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $963K | $960K | $1.0M | $1.1M | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.8M | $1.9M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$963K to $1.4M
39.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$1.1M to $1.9M
56.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000007 | $988K | $1.44M | +45.5% | |
| Durham (Tract 240003) | $947K | $1.25M | +32.0% | |
| Durham (Tract 002200) | $687K | $752K | +9.5% | |
| Durham (Tract 000700) | $717K | $781K | +8.9% | |
| Durham (Tract 000302) | $707K | $758K | +7.3% | |
| Durham (Tract 002008) | $832K | $849K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000007 | $988K | $1.44M | +45.5% | |
| Durham (Tract 280102) | $250K | $349K | +39.7% | |
| Durham (Tract 760004) | $453K | $598K | +32.2% | |
| Durham (Tract 240003) | $947K | $1.25M | +32.0% | |
| Durham (Tract 400005) | $416K | $518K | +24.7% | |
| Triangle | $411K | $486K | +18.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000007 | $988K | $1.44M | $808K | |
| Durham (Tract 001303) | $336K | $333K | $83K | |
| Durham (Tract 002035) | $344K | $347K | $83K | |
| Durham (Tract 001708) | $335K | $345K | $83K | |
| Lebanon | $345K | $361K | $82K | |
| Durham (Tract 001301) | $197K | $204K | $52K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Durham, NC · Census Tract 37063000007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$988K
Downside (P10)
$1.12M
+13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.44M
+46% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.93M
+95% by 2030
Base case: +46% by 2030, with a forecast range from +13% to +95%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $988K | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$163,237 | +$233,091 | +$326,284 | +$449,672 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +16.5% | +23.6% | +33.0% | +45.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $963K | $960K | $1.0M | $1.1M | ||
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.8M | $1.9M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$963K to $1.4M
39.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$1.1M to $1.9M
56.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000007 | $988K | $1.44M | +45.5% | |
| Durham (Tract 240003) | $947K | $1.25M | +32.0% | |
| Durham (Tract 002200) | $687K | $752K | +9.5% | |
| Durham (Tract 000700) | $717K | $781K | +8.9% | |
| Durham (Tract 000302) | $707K | $758K | +7.3% | |
| Durham (Tract 002008) | $832K | $849K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000007 | $988K | $1.44M | +45.5% | |
| Durham (Tract 280102) | $250K | $349K | +39.7% | |
| Durham (Tract 760004) | $453K | $598K | +32.2% | |
| Durham (Tract 240003) | $947K | $1.25M | +32.0% | |
| Durham (Tract 400005) | $416K | $518K | +24.7% | |
| Triangle | $411K | $486K | +18.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000007 | $988K | $1.44M | $808K | |
| Durham (Tract 001303) | $336K | $333K | $83K | |
| Durham (Tract 002035) | $344K | $347K | $83K | |
| Durham (Tract 001708) | $335K | $345K | $83K | |
| Lebanon | $345K | $361K | $82K | |
| Durham (Tract 001301) | $197K | $204K | $52K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
