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Duplin, NC · ZIP 28518 · Census Tract 37061090505 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$186K
Downside (P10)
$143K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$192K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$224K
+21% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +21%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $124K | $130K | $179K | $190K | $183K | $186K | $182K | $187K | $192K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$61,904 | -$56,504 | -$6,704 | +$4,196 | -$3,404 | -$3,834 | +$764 | +$6,261 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.3% | -30.4% | -3.6% | +2.3% | -1.8% | -2.1% | +0.4% | +3.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $146K | $147K | $143K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $214K | $223K | $224K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$146K to $214K
37.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$143K to $224K
42.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limestone | $185K | $192K | +4.1% | |
| Island Creek (Tract 090705) | $216K | $257K | +18.7% | |
| Faison | $166K | $186K | +11.9% | |
| Rose Hill | $154K | $171K | +10.5% | |
| Island Creek (Tract 090706) | $178K | $193K | +8.2% | |
| Wolfscrape area | $169K | $183K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limestone | $185K | $192K | +4.1% | |
| Duplin (Tract 240005) | $424K | $520K | +22.6% | |
| Duplin (Tract 840007) | $405K | $491K | +21.2% | |
| Island Creek | $216K | $257K | +18.7% | |
| Duplin (Tract 520000) | $439K | $519K | +18.2% | |
| Magnolia | $138K | $160K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limestone | $185K | $192K | $81K | |
| Smith area | $120K | $126K | $54K | |
| Limestone | $97K | $99K | $52K | |
| Wolfscrape | $99K | $101K | $49K | |
| Warsaw | $69K | $73K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Duplin, NC · ZIP 28518 · Census Tract 37061090505 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$186K
Downside (P10)
$143K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$192K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$224K
+21% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +21%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $124K | $130K | $179K | $190K | $183K | $186K | $182K | $187K | $192K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$61,904 | -$56,504 | -$6,704 | +$4,196 | -$3,404 | -$3,834 | +$764 | +$6,261 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -33.3% | -30.4% | -3.6% | +2.3% | -1.8% | -2.1% | +0.4% | +3.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $146K | $147K | $143K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $214K | $223K | $224K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$146K to $214K
37.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$143K to $224K
42.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limestone | $185K | $192K | +4.1% | |
| Island Creek (Tract 090705) | $216K | $257K | +18.7% | |
| Faison | $166K | $186K | +11.9% | |
| Rose Hill | $154K | $171K | +10.5% | |
| Island Creek (Tract 090706) | $178K | $193K | +8.2% | |
| Wolfscrape area | $169K | $183K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limestone | $185K | $192K | +4.1% | |
| Duplin (Tract 240005) | $424K | $520K | +22.6% | |
| Duplin (Tract 840007) | $405K | $491K | +21.2% | |
| Island Creek | $216K | $257K | +18.7% | |
| Duplin (Tract 520000) | $439K | $519K | +18.2% | |
| Magnolia | $138K | $160K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Limestone | $185K | $192K | $81K | |
| Smith area | $120K | $126K | $54K | |
| Limestone | $97K | $99K | $52K | |
| Wolfscrape | $99K | $101K | $49K | |
| Warsaw | $69K | $73K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
