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Dare, NC · ZIP 27953 · Census Tract 37055970501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$266K
Downside (P10)
$212K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$277K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$384K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $166K | $142K | $152K | $159K | $155K | $168K | $208K | $261K | $266K | $278K | $283K | $277K | $270K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$100,401 | -$124,401 | -$113,801 | -$107,301 | -$110,801 | -$97,901 | -$58,101 | -$4,601 | +$11,689 | +$16,681 | +$10,529 | +$3,572 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.7% | -46.8% | -42.8% | -40.3% | -41.7% | -36.8% | -21.8% | -1.7% | +4.4% | +6.3% | +4.0% | +1.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $227K | $215K | $212K | $243K | ||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $343K | $373K | $384K | $310K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$227K to $343K
41.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$243K to $310K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Lake area | $265K | $277K | +4.4% | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970301) | $427K | $478K | +12.0% | |
| Nags Head (Tract 970602) | $324K | $348K | +7.5% | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970200) | $418K | $445K | +6.6% | |
| Kinnakeet area | $449K | $471K | +4.9% | |
| Nags Head (Tract 970601) | $416K | $436K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Lake area | $265K | $277K | +4.4% | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970102) | $542K | $622K | +14.7% | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970301) | $427K | $478K | +12.0% | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970302) | $481K | $518K | +7.7% | |
| Nags Head | $324K | $348K | +7.5% | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970200) | $418K | $445K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Lake area | $265K | $277K | $171K | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970301) | $427K | $478K | $280K | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970302) | $481K | $518K | $275K | |
| Kinnakeet area | $449K | $471K | $258K | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970102) | $542K | $622K | $248K | |
| Nags Head | $324K | $348K | $180K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Dare, NC · ZIP 27953 · Census Tract 37055970501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$266K
Downside (P10)
$212K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$277K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$384K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $166K | $142K | $152K | $159K | $155K | $168K | $208K | $261K | $266K | $278K | $283K | $277K | $270K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$100,401 | -$124,401 | -$113,801 | -$107,301 | -$110,801 | -$97,901 | -$58,101 | -$4,601 | +$11,689 | +$16,681 | +$10,529 | +$3,572 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.7% | -46.8% | -42.8% | -40.3% | -41.7% | -36.8% | -21.8% | -1.7% | +4.4% | +6.3% | +4.0% | +1.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $227K | $215K | $212K | $243K | ||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $343K | $373K | $384K | $310K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$227K to $343K
41.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$243K to $310K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Lake area | $265K | $277K | +4.4% | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970301) | $427K | $478K | +12.0% | |
| Nags Head (Tract 970602) | $324K | $348K | +7.5% | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970200) | $418K | $445K | +6.6% | |
| Kinnakeet area | $449K | $471K | +4.9% | |
| Nags Head (Tract 970601) | $416K | $436K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Lake area | $265K | $277K | +4.4% | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970102) | $542K | $622K | +14.7% | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970301) | $427K | $478K | +12.0% | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970302) | $481K | $518K | +7.7% | |
| Nags Head | $324K | $348K | +7.5% | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970200) | $418K | $445K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Lake area | $265K | $277K | $171K | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970301) | $427K | $478K | $280K | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970302) | $481K | $518K | $275K | |
| Kinnakeet area | $449K | $471K | $258K | |
| Atlantic (Tract 970102) | $542K | $622K | $248K | |
| Nags Head | $324K | $348K | $180K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
