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Avery, NC · Census Tract 37011000004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$291K
Downside (P10)
$276K
-5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$398K
+37% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$603K
+107% by 2030
Base case: +37% by 2030, with a forecast range from -5% to +107%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $291K | $330K | $347K | $366K | $398K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$38,661 | +$55,173 | +$74,376 | +$106,689 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +13.3% | +18.9% | +25.5% | +36.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $261K | $263K | $269K | $276K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $415K | $492K | $558K | $603K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$261K to $415K
46.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$276K to $603K
82.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000004 | $291K | $398K | +36.6% | |
| Avery | $217K | $303K | +39.8% | |
| Newland No. 1 area | $234K | $256K | +9.2% | |
| Ingalls area | $286K | $309K | +8.0% | |
| Carey's Flat area | $326K | $334K | +2.5% | |
| Banner Elk area | $332K | $324K | -2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000004 | $291K | $398K | +36.6% | |
| Avery (Tract 040006) | $95K | $146K | +54.5% | |
| Avery (Tract 800000) | $474K | $700K | +47.7% | |
| Avery (Tract 240000) | $217K | $303K | +39.8% | |
| Avery (Tract 980001) | $642K | $858K | +33.7% | |
| Newland No. 1 area | $234K | $256K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000004 | $291K | $398K | $327K | |
| Avery | $95K | $146K | $176K | |
| Ingalls area | $286K | $309K | $146K | |
| Newland No. 1 area | $234K | $256K | $121K | |
| Minneapolis area | $212K | $218K | $116K | |
| Banner Elk area | $332K | $324K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Avery, NC · Census Tract 37011000004 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$291K
Downside (P10)
$276K
-5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$398K
+37% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$603K
+107% by 2030
Base case: +37% by 2030, with a forecast range from -5% to +107%. The model forecasts this with 55% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $291K | $330K | $347K | $366K | $398K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$38,661 | +$55,173 | +$74,376 | +$106,689 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +13.3% | +18.9% | +25.5% | +36.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $261K | $263K | $269K | $276K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $415K | $492K | $558K | $603K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$261K to $415K
46.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$276K to $603K
82.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000004 | $291K | $398K | +36.6% | |
| Avery | $217K | $303K | +39.8% | |
| Newland No. 1 area | $234K | $256K | +9.2% | |
| Ingalls area | $286K | $309K | +8.0% | |
| Carey's Flat area | $326K | $334K | +2.5% | |
| Banner Elk area | $332K | $324K | -2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000004 | $291K | $398K | +36.6% | |
| Avery (Tract 040006) | $95K | $146K | +54.5% | |
| Avery (Tract 800000) | $474K | $700K | +47.7% | |
| Avery (Tract 240000) | $217K | $303K | +39.8% | |
| Avery (Tract 980001) | $642K | $858K | +33.7% | |
| Newland No. 1 area | $234K | $256K | +9.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000004 | $291K | $398K | $327K | |
| Avery | $95K | $146K | $176K | |
| Ingalls area | $286K | $309K | $146K | |
| Newland No. 1 area | $234K | $256K | $121K | |
| Minneapolis area | $212K | $218K | $116K | |
| Banner Elk area | $332K | $324K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
