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Madison, MS · ZIP 39157 · Census Tract 28089030112 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$343K
Downside (P10)
$299K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$373K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$521K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $188K | $262K | $291K | $316K | $330K | $343K | $349K | $363K | $373K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$154,680 | -$81,180 | -$51,580 | -$26,680 | -$12,280 | +$6,659 | +$19,864 | +$30,787 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.1% | -23.7% | -15.1% | -7.8% | -3.6% | +1.9% | +5.8% | +9.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $305K | $307K | $299K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $412K | $473K | $521K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$305K to $412K
30.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$299K to $521K
59.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgeland | $338K | $373K | +10.4% | |
| 4 area | $368K | $419K | +14.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 030110) | $364K | $403K | +10.6% | |
| 1 | $338K | $370K | +9.5% | |
| 5 | $328K | $355K | +8.2% | |
| Madison (Tract 030202) | $356K | $383K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgeland | $338K | $373K | +10.4% | |
| Ridgeland (Tract 030206) | $405K | $492K | +21.5% | |
| 4 (Tract 030403) | $540K | $631K | +16.9% | |
| 4 (Tract 030401) | $292K | $338K | +15.9% | |
| 4 area | $368K | $419K | +14.0% | |
| Ridgeland (Tract 030104) | $285K | $324K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgeland | $338K | $373K | $222K | |
| 5 (Tract 030600) | $114K | $128K | $85K | |
| 5 area | $113K | $119K | $69K | |
| Canton | $128K | $140K | $67K | |
| 4 | $78K | $80K | $55K | |
| 5 (Tract 031000) | $98K | $105K | $53K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Madison, MS · ZIP 39157 · Census Tract 28089030112 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$343K
Downside (P10)
$299K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$373K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$521K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $188K | $262K | $291K | $316K | $330K | $343K | $349K | $363K | $373K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$154,680 | -$81,180 | -$51,580 | -$26,680 | -$12,280 | +$6,659 | +$19,864 | +$30,787 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -45.1% | -23.7% | -15.1% | -7.8% | -3.6% | +1.9% | +5.8% | +9.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $305K | $307K | $299K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $412K | $473K | $521K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$305K to $412K
30.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$299K to $521K
59.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgeland | $338K | $373K | +10.4% | |
| 4 area | $368K | $419K | +14.0% | |
| Madison (Tract 030110) | $364K | $403K | +10.6% | |
| 1 | $338K | $370K | +9.5% | |
| 5 | $328K | $355K | +8.2% | |
| Madison (Tract 030202) | $356K | $383K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgeland | $338K | $373K | +10.4% | |
| Ridgeland (Tract 030206) | $405K | $492K | +21.5% | |
| 4 (Tract 030403) | $540K | $631K | +16.9% | |
| 4 (Tract 030401) | $292K | $338K | +15.9% | |
| 4 area | $368K | $419K | +14.0% | |
| Ridgeland (Tract 030104) | $285K | $324K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ridgeland | $338K | $373K | $222K | |
| 5 (Tract 030600) | $114K | $128K | $85K | |
| 5 area | $113K | $119K | $69K | |
| Canton | $128K | $140K | $67K | |
| 4 | $78K | $80K | $55K | |
| 5 (Tract 031000) | $98K | $105K | $53K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
