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Harrison, MS · ZIP 39501 · Census Tract 28047001900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$119K
Downside (P10)
$101K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$131K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$175K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $89K | $87K | $93K | $91K | $88K | $87K | $93K | $101K | $109K | $116K | $119K | $120K | $129K | $131K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$30,775 | -$32,675 | -$26,975 | -$28,175 | -$31,175 | -$32,575 | -$26,375 | -$18,075 | -$10,375 | -$3,975 | +$639 | +$9,046 | +$11,895 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.8% | -27.3% | -22.6% | -23.6% | -26.1% | -27.3% | -22.1% | -15.1% | -8.7% | -3.3% | +0.5% | +7.6% | +10.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $101K | $102K | $101K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $145K | $163K | $175K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$101K to $145K
36.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$101K to $175K
56.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gulfport | $118K | $131K | +11.2% | |
| Gulfport (Tract 002001) | $114K | $129K | +13.4% | |
| D'Iberville (Tract 003306) | $116K | $131K | +12.5% | |
| Gulfport (Tract 003210) | $128K | $142K | +11.2% | |
| Gulfport (Tract 003214) | $126K | $139K | +10.0% | |
| D'Iberville (Tract 003308) | $114K | $122K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gulfport | $118K | $131K | +11.2% | |
| 3 | $189K | $225K | +19.1% | |
| Biloxi | $268K | $317K | +18.3% | |
| 2 (Tract 003513) | $240K | $280K | +16.6% | |
| 2 (Tract 003509) | $221K | $254K | +15.0% | |
| 2 (Tract 003514) | $240K | $275K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gulfport | $118K | $131K | $74K | |
| Biloxi (Tract 004000) | $99K | $99K | $53K | |
| D'Iberville | $79K | $88K | $52K | |
| Gulfport (Tract 002402) | $103K | $111K | $49K | |
| Biloxi (Tract 003901) | $75K | $80K | $46K | |
| Gulfport (Tract 002401) | $91K | $100K | $43K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Harrison, MS · ZIP 39501 · Census Tract 28047001900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$119K
Downside (P10)
$101K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$131K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$175K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $89K | $87K | $93K | $91K | $88K | $87K | $93K | $101K | $109K | $116K | $119K | $120K | $129K | $131K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$30,775 | -$32,675 | -$26,975 | -$28,175 | -$31,175 | -$32,575 | -$26,375 | -$18,075 | -$10,375 | -$3,975 | +$639 | +$9,046 | +$11,895 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.8% | -27.3% | -22.6% | -23.6% | -26.1% | -27.3% | -22.1% | -15.1% | -8.7% | -3.3% | +0.5% | +7.6% | +10.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $101K | $102K | $101K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $145K | $163K | $175K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$101K to $145K
36.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$101K to $175K
56.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gulfport | $118K | $131K | +11.2% | |
| Gulfport (Tract 002001) | $114K | $129K | +13.4% | |
| D'Iberville (Tract 003306) | $116K | $131K | +12.5% | |
| Gulfport (Tract 003210) | $128K | $142K | +11.2% | |
| Gulfport (Tract 003214) | $126K | $139K | +10.0% | |
| D'Iberville (Tract 003308) | $114K | $122K | +6.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gulfport | $118K | $131K | +11.2% | |
| 3 | $189K | $225K | +19.1% | |
| Biloxi | $268K | $317K | +18.3% | |
| 2 (Tract 003513) | $240K | $280K | +16.6% | |
| 2 (Tract 003509) | $221K | $254K | +15.0% | |
| 2 (Tract 003514) | $240K | $275K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gulfport | $118K | $131K | $74K | |
| Biloxi (Tract 004000) | $99K | $99K | $53K | |
| D'Iberville | $79K | $88K | $52K | |
| Gulfport (Tract 002402) | $103K | $111K | $49K | |
| Biloxi (Tract 003901) | $75K | $80K | $46K | |
| Gulfport (Tract 002401) | $91K | $100K | $43K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
