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St. Charles, MO · ZIP 63385 · Census Tract 29183312094 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$311K
Downside (P10)
$266K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$332K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$434K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $183K | $182K | $184K | $194K | $205K | $221K | $234K | $273K | $285K | $297K | $311K | $313K | $327K | $332K | $311K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$127,647 | -$128,747 | -$126,647 | -$116,947 | -$106,347 | -$89,847 | -$76,947 | -$38,047 | -$26,047 | -$14,047 | +$2,156 | +$16,500 | +$21,248 | -$341 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.1% | -41.4% | -40.7% | -37.6% | -34.2% | -28.9% | -24.8% | -12.2% | -8.4% | -4.5% | +0.7% | +5.3% | +6.8% | -0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $284K | $280K | $266K | $275K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $388K | $423K | $434K | $346K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$284K to $388K
33.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$275K to $346K
22.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wentzville · 63385 · (Tract 3120.94) | $302K | $332K | +10.1% | |
| St. Peters (Tract 311221) | $315K | $370K | +17.6% | |
| St. Peters (Tract 311212) | $305K | $320K | +4.8% | |
| Rivers | $323K | $338K | +4.6% | |
| Zumbehl | $319K | $333K | +4.5% | |
| Spencer Creek area | $322K | $333K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wentzville · 63385 · (Tract 3120.94) | $302K | $332K | +10.1% | |
| O'Fallon | $325K | $392K | +20.9% | |
| St. Charles | $255K | $301K | +18.2% | |
| Boone | $352K | $415K | +18.0% | |
| St. Peters | $315K | $370K | +17.6% | |
| Dardenne | $422K | $488K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wentzville · 63385 · (Tract 3120.94) | $302K | $332K | $168K | |
| Lake St. Louis | $228K | $241K | $117K | |
| St. Charles | $192K | $204K | $114K | |
| St. Peters (Tract 312400) | $173K | $185K | $97K | |
| St. Peters (Tract 311203) | $252K | $265K | $95K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
St. Charles, MO · ZIP 63385 · Census Tract 29183312094 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$311K
Downside (P10)
$266K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$332K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$434K
+40% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $183K | $182K | $184K | $194K | $205K | $221K | $234K | $273K | $285K | $297K | $311K | $313K | $327K | $332K | $311K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$127,647 | -$128,747 | -$126,647 | -$116,947 | -$106,347 | -$89,847 | -$76,947 | -$38,047 | -$26,047 | -$14,047 | +$2,156 | +$16,500 | +$21,248 | -$341 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.1% | -41.4% | -40.7% | -37.6% | -34.2% | -28.9% | -24.8% | -12.2% | -8.4% | -4.5% | +0.7% | +5.3% | +6.8% | -0.1% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $284K | $280K | $266K | $275K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $388K | $423K | $434K | $346K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$284K to $388K
33.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$275K to $346K
22.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wentzville · 63385 · (Tract 3120.94) | $302K | $332K | +10.1% | |
| St. Peters (Tract 311221) | $315K | $370K | +17.6% | |
| St. Peters (Tract 311212) | $305K | $320K | +4.8% | |
| Rivers | $323K | $338K | +4.6% | |
| Zumbehl | $319K | $333K | +4.5% | |
| Spencer Creek area | $322K | $333K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wentzville · 63385 · (Tract 3120.94) | $302K | $332K | +10.1% | |
| O'Fallon | $325K | $392K | +20.9% | |
| St. Charles | $255K | $301K | +18.2% | |
| Boone | $352K | $415K | +18.0% | |
| St. Peters | $315K | $370K | +17.6% | |
| Dardenne | $422K | $488K | +15.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wentzville · 63385 · (Tract 3120.94) | $302K | $332K | $168K | |
| Lake St. Louis | $228K | $241K | $117K | |
| St. Charles | $192K | $204K | $114K | |
| St. Peters (Tract 312400) | $173K | $185K | $97K | |
| St. Peters (Tract 311203) | $252K | $265K | $95K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
