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Jasper, MO · ZIP 64836 · Census Tract 29097011502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$186K
Downside (P10)
$149K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$199K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$269K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $147K | $145K | $180K | $186K | $181K | $186K | $193K | $196K | $199K | $189K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$38,635 | -$40,635 | -$6,035 | -$535 | -$5,135 | +$6,512 | +$9,932 | +$13,422 | +$3,033 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -20.8% | -21.8% | -3.2% | -0.3% | -2.8% | +3.5% | +5.3% | +7.2% | +1.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $154K | $155K | $149K | $168K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $228K | $243K | $269K | $213K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$154K to $228K
38.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$168K to $213K
24.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineral | $185K | $199K | +7.9% | |
| Union area | $175K | $200K | +14.0% | |
| Jackson | $195K | $219K | +12.2% | |
| Joplin | $183K | $204K | +11.3% | |
| Joplin area | $185K | $196K | +6.1% | |
| Jasper area | $180K | $190K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineral | $185K | $199K | +7.9% | |
| Joplin | $87K | $102K | +17.3% | |
| Galena (Tract 011202) | $127K | $149K | +16.9% | |
| Union area | $175K | $200K | +14.0% | |
| Galena (Tract 010902) | $172K | $196K | +13.9% | |
| Galena (Tract 011100) | $167K | $191K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineral | $185K | $199K | $121K | |
| Joplin (Tract 010601) | $120K | $128K | $75K | |
| Joplin (Tract 010800) | $108K | $113K | $72K | |
| Joplin (Tract 010100) | $100K | $106K | $60K | |
| Marion | $111K | $121K | $48K | |
| Joplin (Tract 011000) | $87K | $102K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Jasper, MO · ZIP 64836 · Census Tract 29097011502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$186K
Downside (P10)
$149K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$199K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$269K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $147K | $145K | $180K | $186K | $181K | $186K | $193K | $196K | $199K | $189K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$38,635 | -$40,635 | -$6,035 | -$535 | -$5,135 | +$6,512 | +$9,932 | +$13,422 | +$3,033 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -20.8% | -21.8% | -3.2% | -0.3% | -2.8% | +3.5% | +5.3% | +7.2% | +1.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $154K | $155K | $149K | $168K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $228K | $243K | $269K | $213K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$154K to $228K
38.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$168K to $213K
24.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineral | $185K | $199K | +7.9% | |
| Union area | $175K | $200K | +14.0% | |
| Jackson | $195K | $219K | +12.2% | |
| Joplin | $183K | $204K | +11.3% | |
| Joplin area | $185K | $196K | +6.1% | |
| Jasper area | $180K | $190K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineral | $185K | $199K | +7.9% | |
| Joplin | $87K | $102K | +17.3% | |
| Galena (Tract 011202) | $127K | $149K | +16.9% | |
| Union area | $175K | $200K | +14.0% | |
| Galena (Tract 010902) | $172K | $196K | +13.9% | |
| Galena (Tract 011100) | $167K | $191K | +13.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mineral | $185K | $199K | $121K | |
| Joplin (Tract 010601) | $120K | $128K | $75K | |
| Joplin (Tract 010800) | $108K | $113K | $72K | |
| Joplin (Tract 010100) | $100K | $106K | $60K | |
| Marion | $111K | $121K | $48K | |
| Joplin (Tract 011000) | $87K | $102K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
