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Cole, MO · ZIP 65074 · Census Tract 29051020500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$204K
Downside (P10)
$165K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$215K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$307K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $169K | $163K | $164K | $170K | $167K | $164K | $163K | $185K | $189K | $199K | $204K | $208K | $214K | $215K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$35,518 | -$41,718 | -$40,118 | -$34,818 | -$37,518 | -$40,318 | -$41,118 | -$19,518 | -$15,018 | -$5,118 | +$3,420 | +$9,244 | +$10,711 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -17.4% | -20.4% | -19.6% | -17.0% | -18.4% | -19.7% | -20.1% | -9.5% | -7.3% | -2.5% | +1.7% | +4.5% | +5.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $172K | $171K | $165K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $252K | $275K | $307K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$172K to $252K
38.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$165K to $307K
66.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreau | $200K | $215K | +7.7% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 010402) | $228K | $264K | +15.6% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 010901) | $199K | $228K | +14.8% | |
| Jefferson City (Tract 010300) | $216K | $238K | +10.1% | |
| Jefferson City (Tract 010902) | $215K | $235K | +9.3% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 020400) | $188K | $203K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreau | $200K | $215K | +7.7% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 010402) | $228K | $264K | +15.6% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 010901) | $199K | $228K | +14.8% | |
| Clark | $250K | $283K | +13.3% | |
| Jefferson City (Tract 010600) | $163K | $185K | +13.1% | |
| Jefferson City (Tract 010300) | $216K | $238K | +10.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreau | $200K | $215K | $143K | |
| Jefferson (Tract 020400) | $188K | $203K | $114K | |
| Jefferson City (Tract 010902) | $215K | $235K | $111K | |
| Jefferson (Tract 010801) | $248K | $247K | $110K | |
| Jefferson City (Tract 010600) | $163K | $185K | $84K | |
| Jefferson City (Tract 020700) | $110K | $120K | $67K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Cole, MO · ZIP 65074 · Census Tract 29051020500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$204K
Downside (P10)
$165K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$215K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$307K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $169K | $163K | $164K | $170K | $167K | $164K | $163K | $185K | $189K | $199K | $204K | $208K | $214K | $215K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$35,518 | -$41,718 | -$40,118 | -$34,818 | -$37,518 | -$40,318 | -$41,118 | -$19,518 | -$15,018 | -$5,118 | +$3,420 | +$9,244 | +$10,711 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -17.4% | -20.4% | -19.6% | -17.0% | -18.4% | -19.7% | -20.1% | -9.5% | -7.3% | -2.5% | +1.7% | +4.5% | +5.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $172K | $171K | $165K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $252K | $275K | $307K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$172K to $252K
38.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$165K to $307K
66.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreau | $200K | $215K | +7.7% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 010402) | $228K | $264K | +15.6% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 010901) | $199K | $228K | +14.8% | |
| Jefferson City (Tract 010300) | $216K | $238K | +10.1% | |
| Jefferson City (Tract 010902) | $215K | $235K | +9.3% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 020400) | $188K | $203K | +8.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreau | $200K | $215K | +7.7% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 010402) | $228K | $264K | +15.6% | |
| Jefferson (Tract 010901) | $199K | $228K | +14.8% | |
| Clark | $250K | $283K | +13.3% | |
| Jefferson City (Tract 010600) | $163K | $185K | +13.1% | |
| Jefferson City (Tract 010300) | $216K | $238K | +10.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moreau | $200K | $215K | $143K | |
| Jefferson (Tract 020400) | $188K | $203K | $114K | |
| Jefferson City (Tract 010902) | $215K | $235K | $111K | |
| Jefferson (Tract 010801) | $248K | $247K | $110K | |
| Jefferson City (Tract 010600) | $163K | $185K | $84K | |
| Jefferson City (Tract 020700) | $110K | $120K | $67K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
