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Lake, MI · ZIP 49644 · Census Tract 26085960100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$181K
Downside (P10)
$140K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$187K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$248K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $97K | $95K | $92K | $94K | $110K | $118K | $141K | $155K | $174K | $174K | $181K | $186K | $190K | $187K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$83,706 | -$85,806 | -$89,106 | -$86,806 | -$70,906 | -$63,206 | -$40,106 | -$25,906 | -$6,606 | -$7,106 | +$4,846 | +$9,623 | +$5,997 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -46.3% | -47.5% | -49.3% | -48.0% | -39.2% | -35.0% | -22.2% | -14.3% | -3.7% | -3.9% | +2.7% | +5.3% | +3.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $152K | $148K | $140K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $218K | $246K | $248K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$152K to $218K
35.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$140K to $248K
57.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sauble area | $178K | $187K | +4.8% | |
| Lake (Tract 720004) | $128K | $170K | +33.0% | |
| Lake (Tract 361007) | $139K | $183K | +31.1% | |
| Newkirk area | $126K | $140K | +11.0% | |
| Yates area | $126K | $132K | +4.6% | |
| Lake area | $124K | $128K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sauble area | $178K | $187K | +4.8% | |
| Lake (Tract 720004) | $128K | $170K | +33.0% | |
| Lake (Tract 361007) | $139K | $183K | +31.1% | |
| Lake (Tract 400007) | $73K | $96K | +30.8% | |
| Lake (Tract 361104) | $75K | $92K | +22.0% | |
| Lake (Tract 600001) | $278K | $329K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sauble area | $178K | $187K | $108K | |
| Lake (Tract 361104) | $75K | $92K | $110K | |
| Lake (Tract 400007) | $73K | $96K | $88K | |
| Newkirk area | $126K | $140K | $84K | |
| Yates area | $126K | $132K | $76K | |
| Lake area | $124K | $128K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lake, MI · ZIP 49644 · Census Tract 26085960100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$181K
Downside (P10)
$140K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$187K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$248K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $97K | $95K | $92K | $94K | $110K | $118K | $141K | $155K | $174K | $174K | $181K | $186K | $190K | $187K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$83,706 | -$85,806 | -$89,106 | -$86,806 | -$70,906 | -$63,206 | -$40,106 | -$25,906 | -$6,606 | -$7,106 | +$4,846 | +$9,623 | +$5,997 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -46.3% | -47.5% | -49.3% | -48.0% | -39.2% | -35.0% | -22.2% | -14.3% | -3.7% | -3.9% | +2.7% | +5.3% | +3.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $152K | $148K | $140K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $218K | $246K | $248K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$152K to $218K
35.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$140K to $248K
57.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sauble area | $178K | $187K | +4.8% | |
| Lake (Tract 720004) | $128K | $170K | +33.0% | |
| Lake (Tract 361007) | $139K | $183K | +31.1% | |
| Newkirk area | $126K | $140K | +11.0% | |
| Yates area | $126K | $132K | +4.6% | |
| Lake area | $124K | $128K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sauble area | $178K | $187K | +4.8% | |
| Lake (Tract 720004) | $128K | $170K | +33.0% | |
| Lake (Tract 361007) | $139K | $183K | +31.1% | |
| Lake (Tract 400007) | $73K | $96K | +30.8% | |
| Lake (Tract 361104) | $75K | $92K | +22.0% | |
| Lake (Tract 600001) | $278K | $329K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sauble area | $178K | $187K | $108K | |
| Lake (Tract 361104) | $75K | $92K | $110K | |
| Lake (Tract 400007) | $73K | $96K | $88K | |
| Newkirk area | $126K | $140K | $84K | |
| Yates area | $126K | $132K | $76K | |
| Lake area | $124K | $128K | $62K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
