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Bath, KY · ZIP 40374 · Census Tract 21011970100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$121K
Downside (P10)
$96K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$126K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$179K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $75K | $77K | $96K | $97K | $110K | $94K | $97K | $100K | $104K | $118K | $121K | $121K | $127K | $126K | $122K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$45,841 | -$44,541 | -$24,941 | -$23,641 | -$11,341 | -$26,741 | -$24,141 | -$21,141 | -$17,341 | -$3,341 | +$216 | +$5,757 | +$4,472 | +$1,205 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.9% | -36.8% | -20.6% | -19.5% | -9.4% | -22.1% | -19.9% | -17.5% | -14.3% | -2.8% | +0.2% | +4.8% | +3.7% | +1.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $108K | $103K | $96K | $107K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $149K | $160K | $179K | $139K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$108K to $149K
34.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$107K to $139K
26.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpsburg | $118K | $126K | +6.1% | |
| Owingsville (Tract 970201) | $133K | $151K | +13.6% | |
| Owingsville (Tract 970202) | $122K | $138K | +12.9% | |
| Salt Lick | $182K | $205K | +12.8% | |
| Bath (Tract 000007) | $2.26M | $1.73M | -23.5% | |
| Bath (Tract 080001) | $2.30M | $1.71M | -25.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpsburg | $118K | $126K | +6.1% | |
| Owingsville (Tract 970201) | $133K | $151K | +13.6% | |
| Owingsville (Tract 970202) | $122K | $138K | +12.9% | |
| Salt Lick | $182K | $205K | +12.8% | |
| Bath (Tract 000007) | $2.26M | $1.73M | -23.5% | |
| Bath (Tract 080001) | $2.30M | $1.71M | -25.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpsburg | $118K | $126K | $83K | |
| Bath (Tract 000007) | $2.26M | $1.73M | $1.16M | |
| Bath (Tract 080001) | $2.30M | $1.71M | $961K | |
| Salt Lick | $182K | $205K | $101K | |
| Owingsville (Tract 970202) | $122K | $138K | $81K | |
| Owingsville (Tract 970201) | $133K | $151K | $80K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Bath, KY · ZIP 40374 · Census Tract 21011970100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$121K
Downside (P10)
$96K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$126K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$179K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $75K | $77K | $96K | $97K | $110K | $94K | $97K | $100K | $104K | $118K | $121K | $121K | $127K | $126K | $122K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$45,841 | -$44,541 | -$24,941 | -$23,641 | -$11,341 | -$26,741 | -$24,141 | -$21,141 | -$17,341 | -$3,341 | +$216 | +$5,757 | +$4,472 | +$1,205 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -37.9% | -36.8% | -20.6% | -19.5% | -9.4% | -22.1% | -19.9% | -17.5% | -14.3% | -2.8% | +0.2% | +4.8% | +3.7% | +1.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $108K | $103K | $96K | $107K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $149K | $160K | $179K | $139K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$108K to $149K
34.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$107K to $139K
26.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpsburg | $118K | $126K | +6.1% | |
| Owingsville (Tract 970201) | $133K | $151K | +13.6% | |
| Owingsville (Tract 970202) | $122K | $138K | +12.9% | |
| Salt Lick | $182K | $205K | +12.8% | |
| Bath (Tract 000007) | $2.26M | $1.73M | -23.5% | |
| Bath (Tract 080001) | $2.30M | $1.71M | -25.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpsburg | $118K | $126K | +6.1% | |
| Owingsville (Tract 970201) | $133K | $151K | +13.6% | |
| Owingsville (Tract 970202) | $122K | $138K | +12.9% | |
| Salt Lick | $182K | $205K | +12.8% | |
| Bath (Tract 000007) | $2.26M | $1.73M | -23.5% | |
| Bath (Tract 080001) | $2.30M | $1.71M | -25.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpsburg | $118K | $126K | $83K | |
| Bath (Tract 000007) | $2.26M | $1.73M | $1.16M | |
| Bath (Tract 080001) | $2.30M | $1.71M | $961K | |
| Salt Lick | $182K | $205K | $101K | |
| Owingsville (Tract 970202) | $122K | $138K | $81K | |
| Owingsville (Tract 970201) | $133K | $151K | $80K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
