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St. Joseph, IN · ZIP 46616 · Census Tract 18141000600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$114K
Downside (P10)
$84K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$116K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$149K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $45K | $50K | $55K | $58K | $62K | $66K | $67K | $84K | $89K | $110K | $114K | $115K | $119K | $116K | $113K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$69,330 | -$64,330 | -$58,830 | -$56,230 | -$51,430 | -$48,230 | -$46,630 | -$29,830 | -$24,530 | -$4,230 | +$1,561 | +$5,390 | +$2,612 | -$778 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.9% | -56.5% | -51.7% | -49.4% | -45.2% | -42.4% | -41.0% | -26.2% | -21.5% | -3.7% | +1.4% | +4.7% | +2.3% | -0.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $89K | $86K | $84K | $100K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $140K | $145K | $149K | $128K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$89K to $140K
44.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$100K to $128K
25.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bend · 46616 · (Tract 6) | $111K | $116K | +4.4% | |
| Mishawaka | $107K | $120K | +12.2% | |
| South Bend (Tract 002900) | $111K | $120K | +8.3% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001300) | $121K | $131K | +8.1% | |
| South Bend (Tract 003500) | $113K | $119K | +6.1% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001500) | $118K | $125K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bend · 46616 · (Tract 6) | $111K | $116K | +4.4% | |
| Centre (Tract 011801) | $239K | $284K | +19.0% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001000) | $288K | $334K | +16.2% | |
| Centre (Tract 011804) | $219K | $254K | +15.9% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001400) | $122K | $140K | +14.7% | |
| Union | $246K | $282K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bend · 46616 · (Tract 6) | $111K | $116K | $65K | |
| South Bend (Tract 003400) | $66K | $68K | $45K | |
| South Bend (Tract 003100) | $83K | $92K | $45K | |
| South Bend (Tract 002300) | $53K | $58K | $39K | |
| South Bend (Tract 002400) | $61K | $63K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
St. Joseph, IN · ZIP 46616 · Census Tract 18141000600 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$114K
Downside (P10)
$84K
-26% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$116K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$149K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -26% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $45K | $50K | $55K | $58K | $62K | $66K | $67K | $84K | $89K | $110K | $114K | $115K | $119K | $116K | $113K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$69,330 | -$64,330 | -$58,830 | -$56,230 | -$51,430 | -$48,230 | -$46,630 | -$29,830 | -$24,530 | -$4,230 | +$1,561 | +$5,390 | +$2,612 | -$778 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -60.9% | -56.5% | -51.7% | -49.4% | -45.2% | -42.4% | -41.0% | -26.2% | -21.5% | -3.7% | +1.4% | +4.7% | +2.3% | -0.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $89K | $86K | $84K | $100K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $140K | $145K | $149K | $128K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$89K to $140K
44.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$100K to $128K
25.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bend · 46616 · (Tract 6) | $111K | $116K | +4.4% | |
| Mishawaka | $107K | $120K | +12.2% | |
| South Bend (Tract 002900) | $111K | $120K | +8.3% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001300) | $121K | $131K | +8.1% | |
| South Bend (Tract 003500) | $113K | $119K | +6.1% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001500) | $118K | $125K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bend · 46616 · (Tract 6) | $111K | $116K | +4.4% | |
| Centre (Tract 011801) | $239K | $284K | +19.0% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001000) | $288K | $334K | +16.2% | |
| Centre (Tract 011804) | $219K | $254K | +15.9% | |
| South Bend (Tract 001400) | $122K | $140K | +14.7% | |
| Union | $246K | $282K | +14.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Bend · 46616 · (Tract 6) | $111K | $116K | $65K | |
| South Bend (Tract 003400) | $66K | $68K | $45K | |
| South Bend (Tract 003100) | $83K | $92K | $45K | |
| South Bend (Tract 002300) | $53K | $58K | $39K | |
| South Bend (Tract 002400) | $61K | $63K | $30K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
