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Orange, FL · ZIP 32818 · Census Tract 12095014904 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$316K
Downside (P10)
$300K
-5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$366K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$490K
+55% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -5% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $131K | $144K | $166K | $174K | $179K | $202K | $247K | $324K | $293K | $308K | $316K | $342K | $355K | $366K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$185,176 | -$171,976 | -$150,576 | -$141,976 | -$137,676 | -$113,976 | -$69,176 | +$8,224 | -$23,176 | -$8,076 | +$25,987 | +$39,126 | +$49,407 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.6% | -54.4% | -47.6% | -44.9% | -43.5% | -36.0% | -21.9% | +2.6% | -7.3% | -2.6% | +8.2% | +12.4% | +15.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $279K | $286K | $300K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $407K | $433K | $490K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$279K to $407K
37.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$300K to $490K
52.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $312K | $366K | +17.2% | |
| Union Park (Tract 016715) | $308K | $344K | +11.6% | |
| Union Park (Tract 016505) | $310K | $341K | +10.0% | |
| Orlando (Tract 015202) | $314K | $341K | +8.6% | |
| Ocoee | $315K | $341K | +8.1% | |
| Orlando (Tract 015204) | $314K | $332K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $312K | $366K | +17.2% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $294K | $348K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $312K | $366K | $191K | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | $99K | |
| University | $165K | $185K | $97K | |
| Orlando (Tract 013511) | $119K | $130K | $91K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Orange, FL · ZIP 32818 · Census Tract 12095014904 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$316K
Downside (P10)
$300K
-5% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$366K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$490K
+55% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -5% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $131K | $144K | $166K | $174K | $179K | $202K | $247K | $324K | $293K | $308K | $316K | $342K | $355K | $366K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$185,176 | -$171,976 | -$150,576 | -$141,976 | -$137,676 | -$113,976 | -$69,176 | +$8,224 | -$23,176 | -$8,076 | +$25,987 | +$39,126 | +$49,407 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -58.6% | -54.4% | -47.6% | -44.9% | -43.5% | -36.0% | -21.9% | +2.6% | -7.3% | -2.6% | +8.2% | +12.4% | +15.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $279K | $286K | $300K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $407K | $433K | $490K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$279K to $407K
37.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$300K to $490K
52.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $312K | $366K | +17.2% | |
| Union Park (Tract 016715) | $308K | $344K | +11.6% | |
| Union Park (Tract 016505) | $310K | $341K | +10.0% | |
| Orlando (Tract 015202) | $314K | $341K | +8.6% | |
| Ocoee | $315K | $341K | +8.1% | |
| Orlando (Tract 015204) | $314K | $332K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $312K | $366K | +17.2% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013604) | $280K | $342K | +21.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013510) | $159K | $191K | +20.5% | |
| Union Park | $409K | $491K | +19.9% | |
| Orlando (Tract 013405) | $170K | $201K | +18.7% | |
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $294K | $348K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter Garden-Ocoee | $312K | $366K | $191K | |
| Orlando (Tract 014302) | $179K | $190K | $99K | |
| University | $165K | $185K | $97K | |
| Orlando (Tract 013511) | $119K | $130K | $91K | |
| Orlando (Tract 011702) | $186K | $200K | $84K | |
| Union Park | $87K | $88K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
