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Monroe, FL · ZIP 33040 · Census Tract 12087972100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$704K
Downside (P10)
$558K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$748K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.02M
+46% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $444K | $469K | $463K | $499K | $463K | $477K | $487K | $576K | $599K | $674K | $704K | $730K | $719K | $748K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$259,359 | -$234,859 | -$240,459 | -$204,559 | -$240,359 | -$227,059 | -$216,659 | -$127,759 | -$105,159 | -$29,959 | +$26,534 | +$15,476 | +$44,275 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -36.9% | -33.4% | -34.2% | -29.1% | -34.2% | -32.3% | -30.8% | -18.2% | -14.9% | -4.3% | +3.8% | +2.2% | +6.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $619K | $579K | $558K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $854K | $916K | $1.0M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$619K to $854K
32.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$558K to $1.0M
62.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key West · 33040 · (Tract 9721) | $683K | $748K | +9.5% | |
| Lower Keys | $712K | $827K | +16.2% | |
| Key West | $743K | $827K | +11.3% | |
| Upper Keys (Tract 972700) | $752K | $819K | +8.9% | |
| Upper Keys (Tract 970600) | $743K | $806K | +8.4% | |
| Middle Keys | $736K | $785K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key West · 33040 · (Tract 9721) | $683K | $748K | +9.5% | |
| Middle Keys | $393K | $461K | +17.4% | |
| Lower Keys (Tract 971402) | $712K | $827K | +16.2% | |
| Key West (Tract 972800) | $1.21M | $1.38M | +14.6% | |
| Key West (Tract 971700) | $565K | $647K | +14.5% | |
| Lower Keys (Tract 971501) | $859K | $973K | +13.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key West · 33040 · (Tract 9721) | $683K | $748K | $466K | |
| Key West | $565K | $647K | $387K | |
| Lower Keys | $623K | $651K | $332K | |
| Upper Keys (Tract 970700) | $624K | $683K | $310K | |
| Middle Keys | $393K | $461K | $273K | |
| Upper Keys (Tract 970400) | $503K | $522K | $233K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Monroe, FL · ZIP 33040 · Census Tract 12087972100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$704K
Downside (P10)
$558K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$748K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.02M
+46% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $444K | $469K | $463K | $499K | $463K | $477K | $487K | $576K | $599K | $674K | $704K | $730K | $719K | $748K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$259,359 | -$234,859 | -$240,459 | -$204,559 | -$240,359 | -$227,059 | -$216,659 | -$127,759 | -$105,159 | -$29,959 | +$26,534 | +$15,476 | +$44,275 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -36.9% | -33.4% | -34.2% | -29.1% | -34.2% | -32.3% | -30.8% | -18.2% | -14.9% | -4.3% | +3.8% | +2.2% | +6.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $619K | $579K | $558K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $854K | $916K | $1.0M |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$619K to $854K
32.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$558K to $1.0M
62.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key West · 33040 · (Tract 9721) | $683K | $748K | +9.5% | |
| Lower Keys | $712K | $827K | +16.2% | |
| Key West | $743K | $827K | +11.3% | |
| Upper Keys (Tract 972700) | $752K | $819K | +8.9% | |
| Upper Keys (Tract 970600) | $743K | $806K | +8.4% | |
| Middle Keys | $736K | $785K | +6.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key West · 33040 · (Tract 9721) | $683K | $748K | +9.5% | |
| Middle Keys | $393K | $461K | +17.4% | |
| Lower Keys (Tract 971402) | $712K | $827K | +16.2% | |
| Key West (Tract 972800) | $1.21M | $1.38M | +14.6% | |
| Key West (Tract 971700) | $565K | $647K | +14.5% | |
| Lower Keys (Tract 971501) | $859K | $973K | +13.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key West · 33040 · (Tract 9721) | $683K | $748K | $466K | |
| Key West | $565K | $647K | $387K | |
| Lower Keys | $623K | $651K | $332K | |
| Upper Keys (Tract 970700) | $624K | $683K | $310K | |
| Middle Keys | $393K | $461K | $273K | |
| Upper Keys (Tract 970400) | $503K | $522K | $233K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
