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Leon, FL · ZIP 32301 · Census Tract 12073000200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$438K
Downside (P10)
$393K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$469K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$633K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $237K | $256K | $230K | $245K | $243K | $280K | $314K | $377K | $413K | $411K | $438K | $447K | $453K | $469K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$201,732 | -$182,232 | -$208,732 | -$193,032 | -$195,832 | -$158,132 | -$124,732 | -$61,832 | -$24,932 | -$27,732 | +$8,287 | +$14,301 | +$30,316 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -46.0% | -41.6% | -47.6% | -44.0% | -44.7% | -36.1% | -28.5% | -14.1% | -5.7% | -6.3% | +1.9% | +3.3% | +6.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $385K | $388K | $393K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $531K | $577K | $633K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$385K to $531K
32.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$393K to $633K
51.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallahassee · 32301 · (Tract 2) | $428K | $469K | +9.5% | |
| East Leon (Tract 002514) | $429K | $466K | +8.5% | |
| East Leon (Tract 002515) | $429K | $454K | +5.9% | |
| East Leon (Tract 002511) | $429K | $452K | +5.4% | |
| Tallahassee | $426K | $447K | +4.8% | |
| Southeast Leon | $419K | $434K | +3.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallahassee · 32301 · (Tract 2) | $428K | $469K | +9.5% | |
| Northeast Leon (Tract 002420) | $352K | $424K | +20.5% | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 000903) | $245K | $289K | +17.6% | |
| Southeast Leon | $185K | $216K | +16.9% | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 002201) | $194K | $226K | +16.5% | |
| Northeast Leon (Tract 002416) | $563K | $654K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallahassee · 32301 · (Tract 2) | $428K | $469K | $240K | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 002106) | $122K | $139K | $75K | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 002103) | $130K | $142K | $64K | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 002007) | $125K | $130K | $60K | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 001200) | $99K | $103K | $48K | |
| Southwest Leon | $70K | $78K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Leon, FL · ZIP 32301 · Census Tract 12073000200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$438K
Downside (P10)
$393K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$469K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$633K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $237K | $256K | $230K | $245K | $243K | $280K | $314K | $377K | $413K | $411K | $438K | $447K | $453K | $469K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$201,732 | -$182,232 | -$208,732 | -$193,032 | -$195,832 | -$158,132 | -$124,732 | -$61,832 | -$24,932 | -$27,732 | +$8,287 | +$14,301 | +$30,316 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -46.0% | -41.6% | -47.6% | -44.0% | -44.7% | -36.1% | -28.5% | -14.1% | -5.7% | -6.3% | +1.9% | +3.3% | +6.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $385K | $388K | $393K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $531K | $577K | $633K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$385K to $531K
32.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$393K to $633K
51.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallahassee · 32301 · (Tract 2) | $428K | $469K | +9.5% | |
| East Leon (Tract 002514) | $429K | $466K | +8.5% | |
| East Leon (Tract 002515) | $429K | $454K | +5.9% | |
| East Leon (Tract 002511) | $429K | $452K | +5.4% | |
| Tallahassee | $426K | $447K | +4.8% | |
| Southeast Leon | $419K | $434K | +3.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallahassee · 32301 · (Tract 2) | $428K | $469K | +9.5% | |
| Northeast Leon (Tract 002420) | $352K | $424K | +20.5% | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 000903) | $245K | $289K | +17.6% | |
| Southeast Leon | $185K | $216K | +16.9% | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 002201) | $194K | $226K | +16.5% | |
| Northeast Leon (Tract 002416) | $563K | $654K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tallahassee · 32301 · (Tract 2) | $428K | $469K | $240K | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 002106) | $122K | $139K | $75K | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 002103) | $130K | $142K | $64K | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 002007) | $125K | $130K | $60K | |
| Tallahassee (Tract 001200) | $99K | $103K | $48K | |
| Southwest Leon | $70K | $78K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
