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Hernando, FL · ZIP 34606 · Census Tract 12053041204 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$216K
Downside (P10)
$188K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$234K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$292K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $75K | $70K | $67K | $67K | $80K | $106K | $142K | $180K | $199K | $209K | $216K | $219K | $228K | $234K | $216K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$141,036 | -$145,436 | -$148,936 | -$148,536 | -$135,936 | -$109,436 | -$73,236 | -$35,236 | -$16,336 | -$6,236 | +$3,679 | +$12,494 | +$18,484 | +$911 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -65.4% | -67.5% | -69.1% | -68.9% | -63.1% | -50.8% | -34.0% | -16.3% | -7.6% | -2.9% | +1.7% | +5.8% | +8.6% | +0.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $189K | $189K | $188K | $191K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $262K | $287K | $292K | $242K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$189K to $262K
33.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$191K to $242K
23.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Hill · 34606 · (Tract 412.4) | $209K | $234K | +11.8% | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040602) | $232K | $270K | +16.5% | |
| High Point | $187K | $202K | +7.9% | |
| Ridge Manor | $223K | $239K | +7.3% | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040202) | $212K | $223K | +5.4% | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040201) | $226K | $237K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Hill · 34606 · (Tract 412.4) | $209K | $234K | +11.8% | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040602) | $232K | $270K | +16.5% | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040502) | $145K | $166K | +14.8% | |
| Hernando Beach | $328K | $374K | +13.8% | |
| Spring Hill (Tract 041302) | $253K | $285K | +12.5% | |
| Spring Hill (Tract 040910) | $313K | $351K | +12.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Hill · 34606 · (Tract 412.4) | $209K | $234K | $104K | |
| Ridge Manor | $223K | $239K | $115K | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040501) | $177K | $198K | $104K | |
| Brookridge | $159K | $173K | $97K | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040502) | $145K | $166K | $73K | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040400) | $55K | $59K | $32K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hernando, FL · ZIP 34606 · Census Tract 12053041204 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$216K
Downside (P10)
$188K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$234K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$292K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $75K | $70K | $67K | $67K | $80K | $106K | $142K | $180K | $199K | $209K | $216K | $219K | $228K | $234K | $216K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$141,036 | -$145,436 | -$148,936 | -$148,536 | -$135,936 | -$109,436 | -$73,236 | -$35,236 | -$16,336 | -$6,236 | +$3,679 | +$12,494 | +$18,484 | +$911 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -65.4% | -67.5% | -69.1% | -68.9% | -63.1% | -50.8% | -34.0% | -16.3% | -7.6% | -2.9% | +1.7% | +5.8% | +8.6% | +0.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $189K | $189K | $188K | $191K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $262K | $287K | $292K | $242K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$189K to $262K
33.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$191K to $242K
23.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Hill · 34606 · (Tract 412.4) | $209K | $234K | +11.8% | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040602) | $232K | $270K | +16.5% | |
| High Point | $187K | $202K | +7.9% | |
| Ridge Manor | $223K | $239K | +7.3% | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040202) | $212K | $223K | +5.4% | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040201) | $226K | $237K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Hill · 34606 · (Tract 412.4) | $209K | $234K | +11.8% | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040602) | $232K | $270K | +16.5% | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040502) | $145K | $166K | +14.8% | |
| Hernando Beach | $328K | $374K | +13.8% | |
| Spring Hill (Tract 041302) | $253K | $285K | +12.5% | |
| Spring Hill (Tract 040910) | $313K | $351K | +12.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Hill · 34606 · (Tract 412.4) | $209K | $234K | $104K | |
| Ridge Manor | $223K | $239K | $115K | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040501) | $177K | $198K | $104K | |
| Brookridge | $159K | $173K | $97K | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040502) | $145K | $166K | $73K | |
| Brooksville (Tract 040400) | $55K | $59K | $32K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
