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Clay, FL · ZIP 32043 · Census Tract 12019031302 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$476K
Downside (P10)
$396K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$515K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$621K
+30% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $282K | $307K | $360K | $415K | $463K | $476K | $487K | $502K | $515K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$193,925 | -$169,025 | -$116,325 | -$61,125 | -$13,025 | +$11,331 | +$25,467 | +$39,163 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.7% | -35.5% | -24.4% | -12.8% | -2.7% | +2.4% | +5.3% | +8.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $418K | $409K | $396K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $556K | $588K | $621K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$418K to $556K
28.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$396K to $621K
43.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Cove Springs | $470K | $515K | +9.7% | |
| Keystone Heights | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030306) | $422K | $475K | +12.4% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030704) | $494K | $535K | +8.1% | |
| Fleming Island | $462K | $499K | +8.0% | |
| Green Cove Springs | $429K | $454K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Cove Springs | $470K | $515K | +9.7% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 980000) | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Cove Springs | $470K | $515K | $225K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Clay, FL · ZIP 32043 · Census Tract 12019031302 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$476K
Downside (P10)
$396K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$515K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$621K
+30% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $282K | $307K | $360K | $415K | $463K | $476K | $487K | $502K | $515K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$193,925 | -$169,025 | -$116,325 | -$61,125 | -$13,025 | +$11,331 | +$25,467 | +$39,163 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.7% | -35.5% | -24.4% | -12.8% | -2.7% | +2.4% | +5.3% | +8.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $418K | $409K | $396K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $556K | $588K | $621K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$418K to $556K
28.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$396K to $621K
43.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Cove Springs | $470K | $515K | +9.7% | |
| Keystone Heights | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030306) | $422K | $475K | +12.4% | |
| Orange Park (Tract 030704) | $494K | $535K | +8.1% | |
| Fleming Island | $462K | $499K | +8.0% | |
| Green Cove Springs | $429K | $454K | +5.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Cove Springs | $470K | $515K | +9.7% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 980000) | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Cove Springs | $470K | $515K | $225K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
