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Clay, FL · ZIP 32043 · Census Tract 12019031201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$359K
Downside (P10)
$321K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$375K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$471K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $91K | $184K | $266K | $284K | $351K | $359K | $364K | $366K | $375K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$268,850 | -$175,250 | -$93,750 | -$75,450 | -$7,950 | +$4,864 | +$6,394 | +$15,276 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -74.8% | -48.8% | -26.1% | -21.0% | -2.2% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +4.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $310K | $312K | $321K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $424K | $445K | $471K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$310K to $424K
31.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$321K to $471K
40.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penney Farms · Green Cove Springs · (Tract 312.1) | $353K | $375K | +6.0% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030204) | $355K | $381K | +7.1% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030210) | $351K | $376K | +7.1% | |
| Fleming Island | $368K | $393K | +6.5% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030206) | $362K | $377K | +4.2% | |
| Penney Farms | $357K | $370K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penney Farms · Green Cove Springs · (Tract 312.1) | $353K | $375K | +6.0% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 980000) | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penney Farms · Green Cove Springs · (Tract 312.1) | $353K | $375K | $150K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Clay, FL · ZIP 32043 · Census Tract 12019031201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$359K
Downside (P10)
$321K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$375K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$471K
+31% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +31%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $91K | $184K | $266K | $284K | $351K | $359K | $364K | $366K | $375K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$268,850 | -$175,250 | -$93,750 | -$75,450 | -$7,950 | +$4,864 | +$6,394 | +$15,276 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -74.8% | -48.8% | -26.1% | -21.0% | -2.2% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +4.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $310K | $312K | $321K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $424K | $445K | $471K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$310K to $424K
31.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$321K to $471K
40.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penney Farms · Green Cove Springs · (Tract 312.1) | $353K | $375K | +6.0% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030204) | $355K | $381K | +7.1% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030210) | $351K | $376K | +7.1% | |
| Fleming Island | $368K | $393K | +6.5% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030206) | $362K | $377K | +4.2% | |
| Penney Farms | $357K | $370K | +3.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penney Farms · Green Cove Springs · (Tract 312.1) | $353K | $375K | +6.0% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030209) | $262K | $309K | +17.9% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | +14.2% | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | +13.7% | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 980000) | $433K | $491K | +13.5% | |
| Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace | $221K | $251K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penney Farms · Green Cove Springs · (Tract 312.1) | $353K | $375K | $150K | |
| Lakeside | $194K | $213K | $108K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031110) | $206K | $211K | $102K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030104) | $204K | $231K | $96K | |
| Middleburg-Clay Hill (Tract 030105) | $170K | $193K | $89K | |
| Keystone Heights (Tract 031109) | $124K | $142K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
