Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Naugatuck Valley, CT · Census Tract 09140343400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$437K
Downside (P10)
$392K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$470K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$643K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $397K | $422K | $435K | $437K | $446K | $465K | $470K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$39,433 | -$14,433 | -$1,233 | +$9,934 | +$28,446 | +$33,322 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -9.0% | -3.3% | -0.3% | +2.3% | +6.5% | +7.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $404K | $404K | $392K | |||||
| Upside (P90) | $528K | $566K | $643K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$404K to $528K
27.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$392K to $643K
53.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheshire · (Tract 3434) | $432K | $470K | +8.8% | |
| Seymour | $452K | $531K | +17.3% | |
| Southbury | $436K | $473K | +8.4% | |
| Bethlehem | $418K | $440K | +5.3% | |
| Cheshire | $438K | $449K | +2.5% | |
| Middlebury | $436K | $446K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheshire · (Tract 3434) | $432K | $470K | +8.8% | |
| Derby | $267K | $326K | +21.8% | |
| Waterbury | $208K | $248K | +18.8% | |
| Shelton (Tract 110201) | $370K | $436K | +17.9% | |
| Shelton (Tract 110602) | $479K | $564K | +17.7% | |
| Bristol | $298K | $350K | +17.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheshire · (Tract 3434) | $432K | $470K | $251K | |
| Waterbury (Tract 351000) | $181K | $206K | $101K | |
| Waterbury (Tract 352800) | $211K | $224K | $99K | |
| Waterbury (Tract 350200) | $185K | $203K | $97K | |
| Waterbury (Tract 351100) | $150K | $163K | $85K | |
| Waterbury (Tract 352701) | $142K | $160K | $81K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Naugatuck Valley, CT · Census Tract 09140343400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$437K
Downside (P10)
$392K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$470K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$643K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $397K | $422K | $435K | $437K | $446K | $465K | $470K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$39,433 | -$14,433 | -$1,233 | +$9,934 | +$28,446 | +$33,322 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -9.0% | -3.3% | -0.3% | +2.3% | +6.5% | +7.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $404K | $404K | $392K | |||||
| Upside (P90) | $528K | $566K | $643K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$404K to $528K
27.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$392K to $643K
53.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheshire · (Tract 3434) | $432K | $470K | +8.8% | |
| Seymour | $452K | $531K | +17.3% | |
| Southbury | $436K | $473K | +8.4% | |
| Bethlehem | $418K | $440K | +5.3% | |
| Cheshire | $438K | $449K | +2.5% | |
| Middlebury | $436K | $446K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheshire · (Tract 3434) | $432K | $470K | +8.8% | |
| Derby | $267K | $326K | +21.8% | |
| Waterbury | $208K | $248K | +18.8% | |
| Shelton (Tract 110201) | $370K | $436K | +17.9% | |
| Shelton (Tract 110602) | $479K | $564K | +17.7% | |
| Bristol | $298K | $350K | +17.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheshire · (Tract 3434) | $432K | $470K | $251K | |
| Waterbury (Tract 351000) | $181K | $206K | $101K | |
| Waterbury (Tract 352800) | $211K | $224K | $99K | |
| Waterbury (Tract 350200) | $185K | $203K | $97K | |
| Waterbury (Tract 351100) | $150K | $163K | $85K | |
| Waterbury (Tract 352701) | $142K | $160K | $81K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
