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Weld, CO · ZIP 80504 · Census Tract 08123002021 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$780K
Downside (P10)
$665K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$867K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.11M
+42% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $368K | $417K | $446K | $489K | $510K | $530K | $566K | $622K | $680K | $743K | $780K | $786K | $830K | $867K | $772K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$412,157 | -$362,657 | -$334,357 | -$291,257 | -$269,657 | -$249,757 | -$213,557 | -$158,157 | -$99,857 | -$36,657 | +$5,820 | +$49,687 | +$87,367 | -$7,897 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.9% | -46.5% | -42.9% | -37.3% | -34.6% | -32.0% | -27.4% | -20.3% | -12.8% | -4.7% | +0.7% | +6.4% | +11.2% | -1.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $630K | $655K | $665K | $686K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $937K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $869K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$630K to $937K
39.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$686K to $869K
23.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erie-Frederick | $770K | $867K | +12.6% | |
| Erie-Frederick (Tract 002017) | $888K | $1.03M | +15.7% | |
| Windsor | $693K | $788K | +13.8% | |
| Erie (Tract 002008) | $685K | $758K | +10.7% | |
| Erie-Frederick (Tract 002009) | $838K | $897K | +7.0% | |
| Erie (Tract 002007) | $684K | $726K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erie-Frederick | $770K | $867K | +12.6% | |
| Fort Lupton | $442K | $527K | +19.2% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000703) | $288K | $342K | +18.7% | |
| La Salle-Gilcrest | $411K | $480K | +16.8% | |
| Erie-Frederick | $633K | $739K | +16.6% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000701) | $272K | $318K | +16.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erie-Frederick | $770K | $867K | $444K | |
| Greeley (Tract 001201) | $320K | $352K | $160K | |
| Greeley (Tract 001300) | $313K | $350K | $160K | |
| Evans | $353K | $395K | $156K | |
| Greeley (Tract 000200) | $213K | $221K | $147K | |
| Greeley (Tract 000600) | $265K | $273K | $120K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Weld, CO · ZIP 80504 · Census Tract 08123002021 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$780K
Downside (P10)
$665K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$867K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.11M
+42% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $368K | $417K | $446K | $489K | $510K | $530K | $566K | $622K | $680K | $743K | $780K | $786K | $830K | $867K | $772K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$412,157 | -$362,657 | -$334,357 | -$291,257 | -$269,657 | -$249,757 | -$213,557 | -$158,157 | -$99,857 | -$36,657 | +$5,820 | +$49,687 | +$87,367 | -$7,897 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.9% | -46.5% | -42.9% | -37.3% | -34.6% | -32.0% | -27.4% | -20.3% | -12.8% | -4.7% | +0.7% | +6.4% | +11.2% | -1.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $630K | $655K | $665K | $686K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $937K | $1.0M | $1.1M | $869K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$630K to $937K
39.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$686K to $869K
23.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erie-Frederick | $770K | $867K | +12.6% | |
| Erie-Frederick (Tract 002017) | $888K | $1.03M | +15.7% | |
| Windsor | $693K | $788K | +13.8% | |
| Erie (Tract 002008) | $685K | $758K | +10.7% | |
| Erie-Frederick (Tract 002009) | $838K | $897K | +7.0% | |
| Erie (Tract 002007) | $684K | $726K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erie-Frederick | $770K | $867K | +12.6% | |
| Fort Lupton | $442K | $527K | +19.2% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000703) | $288K | $342K | +18.7% | |
| La Salle-Gilcrest | $411K | $480K | +16.8% | |
| Erie-Frederick | $633K | $739K | +16.6% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000701) | $272K | $318K | +16.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erie-Frederick | $770K | $867K | $444K | |
| Greeley (Tract 001201) | $320K | $352K | $160K | |
| Greeley (Tract 001300) | $313K | $350K | $160K | |
| Evans | $353K | $395K | $156K | |
| Greeley (Tract 000200) | $213K | $221K | $147K | |
| Greeley (Tract 000600) | $265K | $273K | $120K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
