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Weld, CO · ZIP 80516 · Census Tract 08123002007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$680K
Downside (P10)
$573K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$726K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$957K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $354K | $391K | $410K | $442K | $462K | $520K | $559K | $622K | $650K | $693K | $680K | $691K | $718K | $726K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$326,036 | -$289,336 | -$270,136 | -$238,136 | -$218,536 | -$160,536 | -$120,936 | -$58,536 | -$29,836 | +$12,864 | +$10,751 | +$37,612 | +$46,190 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.9% | -42.5% | -39.7% | -35.0% | -32.1% | -23.6% | -17.8% | -8.6% | -4.4% | +1.9% | +1.6% | +5.5% | +6.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $587K | $584K | $573K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $843K | $891K | $957K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$587K to $843K
37.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$573K to $957K
52.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erie · 80516 · (Tract 20.7) | $684K | $726K | +6.2% | |
| Windsor (Tract 002210) | $693K | $788K | +13.8% | |
| Johnstown-Milliken | $639K | $716K | +12.1% | |
| Windsor (Tract 002209) | $657K | $729K | +11.0% | |
| Erie | $685K | $758K | +10.7% | |
| Keenesburg-Hudson | $646K | $693K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erie · 80516 · (Tract 20.7) | $684K | $726K | +6.2% | |
| Fort Lupton | $442K | $527K | +19.2% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000703) | $288K | $342K | +18.7% | |
| La Salle-Gilcrest | $411K | $480K | +16.8% | |
| Erie-Frederick | $633K | $739K | +16.6% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000701) | $272K | $318K | +16.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erie · 80516 · (Tract 20.7) | $684K | $726K | $384K | |
| Greeley (Tract 001201) | $320K | $352K | $160K | |
| Greeley (Tract 001300) | $313K | $350K | $160K | |
| Evans | $353K | $395K | $156K | |
| Greeley (Tract 000200) | $213K | $221K | $147K | |
| Greeley (Tract 000600) | $265K | $273K | $120K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Weld, CO · ZIP 80516 · Census Tract 08123002007 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$680K
Downside (P10)
$573K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$726K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$957K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $354K | $391K | $410K | $442K | $462K | $520K | $559K | $622K | $650K | $693K | $680K | $691K | $718K | $726K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$326,036 | -$289,336 | -$270,136 | -$238,136 | -$218,536 | -$160,536 | -$120,936 | -$58,536 | -$29,836 | +$12,864 | +$10,751 | +$37,612 | +$46,190 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.9% | -42.5% | -39.7% | -35.0% | -32.1% | -23.6% | -17.8% | -8.6% | -4.4% | +1.9% | +1.6% | +5.5% | +6.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $587K | $584K | $573K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $843K | $891K | $957K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$587K to $843K
37.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$573K to $957K
52.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erie · 80516 · (Tract 20.7) | $684K | $726K | +6.2% | |
| Windsor (Tract 002210) | $693K | $788K | +13.8% | |
| Johnstown-Milliken | $639K | $716K | +12.1% | |
| Windsor (Tract 002209) | $657K | $729K | +11.0% | |
| Erie | $685K | $758K | +10.7% | |
| Keenesburg-Hudson | $646K | $693K | +7.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erie · 80516 · (Tract 20.7) | $684K | $726K | +6.2% | |
| Fort Lupton | $442K | $527K | +19.2% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000703) | $288K | $342K | +18.7% | |
| La Salle-Gilcrest | $411K | $480K | +16.8% | |
| Erie-Frederick | $633K | $739K | +16.6% | |
| Greeley (Tract 000701) | $272K | $318K | +16.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erie · 80516 · (Tract 20.7) | $684K | $726K | $384K | |
| Greeley (Tract 001201) | $320K | $352K | $160K | |
| Greeley (Tract 001300) | $313K | $350K | $160K | |
| Evans | $353K | $395K | $156K | |
| Greeley (Tract 000200) | $213K | $221K | $147K | |
| Greeley (Tract 000600) | $265K | $273K | $120K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
