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Ventura, CA · ZIP 93030 · Census Tract 06111004716 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$547K
Downside (P10)
$443K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$597K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$803K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $273K | $308K | $332K | $347K | $368K | $403K | $427K | $469K | $502K | $533K | $547K | $559K | $588K | $597K | $557K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$273,562 | -$239,062 | -$215,162 | -$199,662 | -$179,362 | -$143,962 | -$119,562 | -$77,962 | -$45,462 | -$13,862 | +$11,746 | +$40,597 | +$50,006 | +$9,716 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.0% | -43.7% | -39.3% | -36.5% | -32.8% | -26.3% | -21.9% | -14.3% | -8.3% | -2.5% | +2.1% | +7.4% | +9.1% | +1.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $453K | $447K | $443K | $501K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $728K | $717K | $803K | $623K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$453K to $728K
49.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$501K to $623K
22.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxnard · 93030 · (Tract 47.16) | $541K | $597K | +10.4% | |
| Santa Paula (Tract 000600) | $556K | $634K | +14.1% | |
| Santa Paula (Tract 000701) | $536K | $610K | +13.8% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 003801) | $537K | $611K | +13.8% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 005002) | $539K | $608K | +12.9% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004715) | $545K | $578K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxnard · 93030 · (Tract 47.16) | $541K | $597K | +10.4% | |
| Triunfo Pass-Point Mugu | $1.98M | $2.40M | +21.6% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 003011) | $695K | $844K | +21.4% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004503) | $493K | $596K | +20.8% | |
| Thousand Oaks | $1.04M | $1.24M | +19.2% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004505) | $588K | $697K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxnard · 93030 · (Tract 47.16) | $541K | $597K | $360K | |
| Thousand Oaks | $425K | $465K | $250K | |
| Camarillo | $466K | $504K | $235K | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004710) | $343K | $396K | $209K | |
| Santa Paula | $245K | $253K | $157K | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004704) | $155K | $168K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Ventura, CA · ZIP 93030 · Census Tract 06111004716 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$547K
Downside (P10)
$443K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$597K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$803K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $273K | $308K | $332K | $347K | $368K | $403K | $427K | $469K | $502K | $533K | $547K | $559K | $588K | $597K | $557K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$273,562 | -$239,062 | -$215,162 | -$199,662 | -$179,362 | -$143,962 | -$119,562 | -$77,962 | -$45,462 | -$13,862 | +$11,746 | +$40,597 | +$50,006 | +$9,716 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -50.0% | -43.7% | -39.3% | -36.5% | -32.8% | -26.3% | -21.9% | -14.3% | -8.3% | -2.5% | +2.1% | +7.4% | +9.1% | +1.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $453K | $447K | $443K | $501K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $728K | $717K | $803K | $623K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$453K to $728K
49.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$501K to $623K
22.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxnard · 93030 · (Tract 47.16) | $541K | $597K | +10.4% | |
| Santa Paula (Tract 000600) | $556K | $634K | +14.1% | |
| Santa Paula (Tract 000701) | $536K | $610K | +13.8% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 003801) | $537K | $611K | +13.8% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 005002) | $539K | $608K | +12.9% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004715) | $545K | $578K | +6.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxnard · 93030 · (Tract 47.16) | $541K | $597K | +10.4% | |
| Triunfo Pass-Point Mugu | $1.98M | $2.40M | +21.6% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 003011) | $695K | $844K | +21.4% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004503) | $493K | $596K | +20.8% | |
| Thousand Oaks | $1.04M | $1.24M | +19.2% | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004505) | $588K | $697K | +18.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxnard · 93030 · (Tract 47.16) | $541K | $597K | $360K | |
| Thousand Oaks | $425K | $465K | $250K | |
| Camarillo | $466K | $504K | $235K | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004710) | $343K | $396K | $209K | |
| Santa Paula | $245K | $253K | $157K | |
| Oxnard (Tract 004704) | $155K | $168K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
