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San Francisco, CA · ZIP 94114 · Census Tract 06075020500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.97M
Downside (P10)
$1.49M
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.03M
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.73M
+39% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.9M | $1.9M | $1.9M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$826,573 | -$723,773 | -$750,073 | -$398,773 | -$332,973 | -$202,173 | -$263,073 | -$95,273 | -$78,573 | -$31,973 | +$40,548 | +$65,617 | +$65,013 | +$42,953 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.0% | -36.8% | -38.2% | -20.3% | -16.9% | -10.3% | -13.4% | -4.8% | -4.0% | -1.6% | +2.1% | +3.3% | +3.3% | +2.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.8M | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $2.3M | $2.5M | $2.7M | $2.3M |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$1.6M to $2.3M
36.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$1.8M to $2.3M
24.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco · 94114 · (Tract 205) | $1.95M | $2.03M | +4.0% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 016602) | $1.95M | $2.20M | +12.8% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 012002) | $1.98M | $2.23M | +12.4% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 012602) | $1.98M | $2.17M | +9.4% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 010201) | $1.98M | $2.08M | +4.6% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 021500) | $1.98M | $2.00M | +1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco · 94114 · (Tract 205) | $1.95M | $2.03M | +4.0% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 010101) | $1.60M | $1.95M | +22.0% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 010902) | $1.36M | $1.65M | +21.3% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 010202) | $1.43M | $1.72M | +20.6% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 022801) | $1.33M | $1.60M | +20.4% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 015802) | $1.51M | $1.80M | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco · 94114 · (Tract 205) | $1.95M | $2.03M | $1.24M | |
| San Francisco (Tract 012100) | $703K | $768K | $422K | |
| San Francisco (Tract 016000) | $763K | $831K | $405K | |
| San Francisco (Tract 016101) | $741K | $779K | $330K | |
| San Francisco (Tract 012204) | $391K | $433K | $276K | |
| San Francisco (Tract 012406) | $457K | $469K | $272K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
San Francisco, CA · ZIP 94114 · Census Tract 06075020500 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$1.97M
Downside (P10)
$1.49M
-24% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$2.03M
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.73M
+39% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -24% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.8M | $1.7M | $1.9M | $1.9M | $1.9M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | $2.0M | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$826,573 | -$723,773 | -$750,073 | -$398,773 | -$332,973 | -$202,173 | -$263,073 | -$95,273 | -$78,573 | -$31,973 | +$40,548 | +$65,617 | +$65,013 | +$42,953 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.0% | -36.8% | -38.2% | -20.3% | -16.9% | -10.3% | -13.4% | -4.8% | -4.0% | -1.6% | +2.1% | +3.3% | +3.3% | +2.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $1.6M | $1.6M | $1.5M | $1.8M | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $2.3M | $2.5M | $2.7M | $2.3M |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$1.6M to $2.3M
36.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$1.8M to $2.3M
24.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco · 94114 · (Tract 205) | $1.95M | $2.03M | +4.0% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 016602) | $1.95M | $2.20M | +12.8% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 012002) | $1.98M | $2.23M | +12.4% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 012602) | $1.98M | $2.17M | +9.4% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 010201) | $1.98M | $2.08M | +4.6% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 021500) | $1.98M | $2.00M | +1.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco · 94114 · (Tract 205) | $1.95M | $2.03M | +4.0% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 010101) | $1.60M | $1.95M | +22.0% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 010902) | $1.36M | $1.65M | +21.3% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 010202) | $1.43M | $1.72M | +20.6% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 022801) | $1.33M | $1.60M | +20.4% | |
| San Francisco (Tract 015802) | $1.51M | $1.80M | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco · 94114 · (Tract 205) | $1.95M | $2.03M | $1.24M | |
| San Francisco (Tract 012100) | $703K | $768K | $422K | |
| San Francisco (Tract 016000) | $763K | $831K | $405K | |
| San Francisco (Tract 016101) | $741K | $779K | $330K | |
| San Francisco (Tract 012204) | $391K | $433K | $276K | |
| San Francisco (Tract 012406) | $457K | $469K | $272K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
