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Union, AR · ZIP 71730 · Census Tract 05139950900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$57K
Downside (P10)
$49K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$62K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$81K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $47K | $45K | $48K | $90K | $89K | $70K | $59K | $70K | $54K | $56K | $57K | $59K | $61K | $62K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$10,045 | -$12,045 | -$8,445 | +$33,355 | +$31,755 | +$12,855 | +$2,455 | +$12,655 | -$2,945 | -$1,145 | +$2,137 | +$4,383 | +$4,728 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -17.7% | -21.2% | -14.9% | +58.7% | +55.9% | +22.6% | +4.3% | +22.3% | -5.2% | -2.0% | +3.8% | +7.7% | +8.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $51K | $50K | $49K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $69K | $79K | $81K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$51K to $69K
30.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$49K to $81K
52.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Dorado · 71730 · (Tract 9509) | $57K | $62K | +8.2% | |
| El Dorado | $67K | $75K | +12.6% | |
| Harrison area | $71K | $77K | +8.9% | |
| Johnson | $111K | $120K | +7.8% | |
| Jackson | $122K | $131K | +7.6% | |
| Smackover | $121K | $121K | +0.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Dorado · 71730 · (Tract 9509) | $57K | $62K | +8.2% | |
| Franklin area | $147K | $170K | +15.6% | |
| El Dorado | $67K | $75K | +12.6% | |
| Van Buren area | $163K | $181K | +11.2% | |
| Harrison area | $71K | $77K | +8.9% | |
| Johnson | $111K | $120K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Dorado · 71730 · (Tract 9509) | $57K | $62K | $32K | |
| Jackson | $122K | $131K | $81K | |
| Johnson | $111K | $120K | $68K | |
| El Dorado (Tract 950700) | $130K | $138K | $64K | |
| Harrison area | $71K | $77K | $37K | |
| El Dorado (Tract 951000) | $67K | $75K | $34K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Union, AR · ZIP 71730 · Census Tract 05139950900 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$57K
Downside (P10)
$49K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$62K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$81K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $47K | $45K | $48K | $90K | $89K | $70K | $59K | $70K | $54K | $56K | $57K | $59K | $61K | $62K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$10,045 | -$12,045 | -$8,445 | +$33,355 | +$31,755 | +$12,855 | +$2,455 | +$12,655 | -$2,945 | -$1,145 | +$2,137 | +$4,383 | +$4,728 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -17.7% | -21.2% | -14.9% | +58.7% | +55.9% | +22.6% | +4.3% | +22.3% | -5.2% | -2.0% | +3.8% | +7.7% | +8.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $51K | $50K | $49K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $69K | $79K | $81K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$51K to $69K
30.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$49K to $81K
52.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Dorado · 71730 · (Tract 9509) | $57K | $62K | +8.2% | |
| El Dorado | $67K | $75K | +12.6% | |
| Harrison area | $71K | $77K | +8.9% | |
| Johnson | $111K | $120K | +7.8% | |
| Jackson | $122K | $131K | +7.6% | |
| Smackover | $121K | $121K | +0.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Dorado · 71730 · (Tract 9509) | $57K | $62K | +8.2% | |
| Franklin area | $147K | $170K | +15.6% | |
| El Dorado | $67K | $75K | +12.6% | |
| Van Buren area | $163K | $181K | +11.2% | |
| Harrison area | $71K | $77K | +8.9% | |
| Johnson | $111K | $120K | +7.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Dorado · 71730 · (Tract 9509) | $57K | $62K | $32K | |
| Jackson | $122K | $131K | $81K | |
| Johnson | $111K | $120K | $68K | |
| El Dorado (Tract 950700) | $130K | $138K | $64K | |
| Harrison area | $71K | $77K | $37K | |
| El Dorado (Tract 951000) | $67K | $75K | $34K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
