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Lawrence, AR · ZIP 72476 · Census Tract 05075470100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$84K
Downside (P10)
$69K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$90K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$136K
+61% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +61%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $48K | $57K | $59K | $66K | $70K | $60K | $62K | $69K | $74K | $82K | $84K | $86K | $88K | $90K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$36,256 | -$27,756 | -$25,556 | -$18,756 | -$14,556 | -$24,356 | -$22,256 | -$15,656 | -$10,856 | -$2,156 | +$1,365 | +$3,597 | +$5,711 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.9% | -32.9% | -30.3% | -22.2% | -17.2% | -28.8% | -26.4% | -18.5% | -12.9% | -2.6% | +1.6% | +4.3% | +6.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $75K | $73K | $69K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $113K | $130K | $136K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$75K to $113K
44.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$69K to $136K
74.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cache area | $83K | $90K | +8.3% | |
| Boas | $89K | $101K | +12.8% | |
| Annieville area | $111K | $119K | +8.0% | |
| Ashland area | $78K | $85K | +7.8% | |
| Walnut Ridge | $119K | $124K | +4.0% | |
| Morgan area | $154K | $157K | +1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cache area | $83K | $90K | +8.3% | |
| Lawrence | $289K | $405K | +40.4% | |
| Boas | $89K | $101K | +12.8% | |
| Annieville area | $111K | $119K | +8.0% | |
| Ashland area | $78K | $85K | +7.8% | |
| Walnut Ridge | $119K | $124K | +4.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cache area | $83K | $90K | $67K | |
| Morgan area | $154K | $157K | $123K | |
| Walnut Ridge | $119K | $124K | $72K | |
| Boas | $89K | $101K | $60K | |
| Annieville area | $111K | $119K | $55K | |
| Ashland area | $78K | $85K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lawrence, AR · ZIP 72476 · Census Tract 05075470100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$84K
Downside (P10)
$69K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$90K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$136K
+61% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +61%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $48K | $57K | $59K | $66K | $70K | $60K | $62K | $69K | $74K | $82K | $84K | $86K | $88K | $90K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$36,256 | -$27,756 | -$25,556 | -$18,756 | -$14,556 | -$24,356 | -$22,256 | -$15,656 | -$10,856 | -$2,156 | +$1,365 | +$3,597 | +$5,711 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.9% | -32.9% | -30.3% | -22.2% | -17.2% | -28.8% | -26.4% | -18.5% | -12.9% | -2.6% | +1.6% | +4.3% | +6.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $75K | $73K | $69K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $113K | $130K | $136K |
The predictive band is wider than average, so point estimates should be read with caution. Short-term confidence is usable, but the farther-out range broadens significantly.
Near-term band
$75K to $113K
44.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$69K to $136K
74.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cache area | $83K | $90K | +8.3% | |
| Boas | $89K | $101K | +12.8% | |
| Annieville area | $111K | $119K | +8.0% | |
| Ashland area | $78K | $85K | +7.8% | |
| Walnut Ridge | $119K | $124K | +4.0% | |
| Morgan area | $154K | $157K | +1.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cache area | $83K | $90K | +8.3% | |
| Lawrence | $289K | $405K | +40.4% | |
| Boas | $89K | $101K | +12.8% | |
| Annieville area | $111K | $119K | +8.0% | |
| Ashland area | $78K | $85K | +7.8% | |
| Walnut Ridge | $119K | $124K | +4.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cache area | $83K | $90K | $67K | |
| Morgan area | $154K | $157K | $123K | |
| Walnut Ridge | $119K | $124K | $72K | |
| Boas | $89K | $101K | $60K | |
| Annieville area | $111K | $119K | $55K | |
| Ashland area | $78K | $85K | $45K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Worldcastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Worldcastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
